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League Cup
Referee: C Breakspear
Cardiff
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Bristol Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cardiff Bristol Rovers
Mark McGuinness 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
K. Evans 🔁
↦ R. Conte
59′
O. Tanner 🔁
↦ A. Robertson
59′
M. Reindorf 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
59′
61′
🔁 K. Shaw
↦ P. Omochere
61′
🔁 B. Bilongo
↦ C. Mola
62′
🔁 M. Anthony
↦ S. Sinclair
1–0 M. McGuinness
O. Tanner
68′
M. Fagan-Walcott 🔁
↦ M. McGuinness
76′
77′
🟨 Micah Anthony
77′
🔁 R. Sotiriou
↦ L. McCormick
77′
🔁 K. Conteh
↦ J. Lindsay
2–0 R. Colwill
K. Evans
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
21 J. Alnwick G
44 R. Kpakio D
5 M. McGuinness D
23 J. Bagan D
49 L. Giles D
35 A. Rinomhota M
24 E. King M
36 R. Conte M
18 A. Robertson M
27 R. Colwill M
15 W. Kanga F
Bench (7)
25 K. Evans
32 O. Tanner
46 M. Reindorf
31 M. Fagan-Walcott
48 D. Lawlor
41 M. Turner
43 A. Gbadehan

Coach: E. Bulut

Bristol Rovers

4-1-4-1
1 J. Griffiths G
2 J. Senior D
17 C. Taylor D
25 M. Forbes D
6 C. Mola D
14 J. Garrett M
11 L. Thomas M
29 J. Lindsay M
23 L. McCormick M
7 S. Sinclair M
9 P. Omochere F
Bench (9)
37 K. Shaw
27 B. Bilongo
21 M. Anthony
10 R. Sotiriou
22 K. Conteh
5 J. Wilson
35 M. Hall
19 I. Hutchinson
4 T. Moore

Coach: M. Taylor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Breakspear · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.