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League Cup
Referee: B Atkinson
Crawley Town
S T T T T
4–2
Full-time
Swindon Town
T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crawley Town Swindon Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Crawley Town Swindon Town
1–0 A. Adeyemo ⚽
J. Roles
34′
Half-time 1–0
Junior Quitirna 🔁
↦ J. Kelly
46′
A. Papadopoulos 🔁
↦ Panutche Camará
46′
2–0 J. Roles ⚽
Junior Quitirna
56′
60′
⚽ N. Ofoborh 2–1
P. Glatzel
61′
🔁 H. Smith
↦ A. Drinan
61′
🔁 O. Clarke
↦ N. Ofoborh
61′
🔁 G. Hall
↦ R. Longelo
C. Barker 🔁
↦ C. Bragg
66′
66′
⚽ H. Smith 2–2
J. King
R. Darcy 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
67′
Rafiq Khaleel 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 H. Minturn
↦ M. Freckleton
71′
🔁 D. Mitchell
↦ J. Cotterill
Jack Roles 🟨
78′
Josh Flint 🟨
86′
3–2 J. Roles ⚽
R. Khaleel
88′
4–2 R. Khaleel ⚽
Junior Quitirna
89′
S. Malone 🔁
↦ J. Roles
95′
96′
🟨 Harry Smith
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Crawley Town

3-4-3
1 J. Wollacott G
24 T. Mullarkey D
20 J. Mukena D
28 J. Flint D
27 R. Khaleel M
4 C. Bragg M
6 M. Anderson M
19 J. Kelly M
12 Panutche Camará F
22 A. Adeyemo F
11 J. Roles F
Bench (7)
18 Junior Quitirna
25 A. Papadopoulos
5 C. Barker
10 R. Darcy
33 S. Malone
16 E. Beach
14 R. Hepburn-Murphy

Coach: S. Lindsey

Swindon Town

5-3-2
1 J. Bycroft G
17 J. King D
2 T. Sobowale D
5 W. Wright D
20 M. Freckleton D
14 R. Longelo D
6 N. Ofoborh M
7 J. Cotterill M
16 J. Cain M
23 A. Drinan F
9 P. Glatzel F
Bench (9)
10 H. Smith
8 O. Clarke
24 G. Hall
31 H. Minturn
39 D. Mitchell
35 J. Brown
34 B. Kirkman
37 R. Evans
33 J. McGregor

Coach: M. Kennedy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.