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League Cup
Referee: N Hair
Colchester
S T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Reading
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Colchester Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Colchester Reading
1–0 T. Hopper ⚽
J. Payne
3′
28′
🟨 Abraham Kanu
34′
🔁 T. Bindon
↦ A. Kanu
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Charlie Savage
B. Ihionvien 🔁
↦ S. Tovide
46′
A. Read 🔁
↦ E. Bishop
46′
46′
🔁 K. Ehibhatiomhan
↦ A. Akande
46′
🔁 Mamadi Camará
↦ E. Osho
2–0 J. Payne ⚽
55′
J. Gordon 🔁
↦ T. Hopper
62′
F. Terry 🔁
↦ E. Iandolo
62′
65′
⚽ C. Savage 2–1
72′
🔁 B. Elliott
↦ H. Knibbs
73′
⚽ L. Wing 2–2
75′
🔁 A. Mbengue
↦ K. Abrefa
M. Oni 🔁
↦ J. Payne
78′
Fiacre Kelleher 🟨
99′
Bradley Ihionvien 🟨
99′
121′
⚽ J. Wareham 2–3
3–3 B. Ihionvien ⚽
122′
123′
❌ K. Ehibhatiomhan
penalty missed
4–3 A. Read ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ T. Bindon 4–4
5–4 M. Oni ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ L. Wing 5–5
6–5 J. Gordon ⚽
128′
129′
❌ A. Mbengue
penalty missed
Full-time 6–5

Line-ups

Colchester

3-1-4-2
1 M. Macey G
19 R. Hunt D
4 F. Kelleher D
3 E. Iandolo D
30 A. Woodyard M
18 M. Egbo M
10 J. Payne M
8 E. Bishop M
21 O. Edwards M
14 T. Hopper F
9 S. Tovide F
Bench (9)
48 B. Ihionvien
16 A. Read
11 J. Gordon
40 F. Terry
42 M. Oni
31 O. Thorn
12 T. Smith
22 W. Greenidge
20 A. Bendle

Coach: D. Cowley

Reading

4-3-3
31 C. Boyce-Clarke G
49 E. Osho D
6 H. Dean D
32 A. Kanu D
2 K. Abrefa D
7 H. Knibbs M
29 L. Wing M
8 C. Savage M
30 A. Garcia F
19 J. Wareham F
37 A. Akande F
Bench (9)
24 T. Bindon
9 K. Ehibhatiomhan
28 Mamadi Camará
4 B. Elliott
27 A. Mbengue
39 A. Ahmed
22 Joel Pereira
26 B. Tuma
44 T. Sackey

Coach: Rubén Sellés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.