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League Cup
Referee: B Speedie
Shrewsbury
T T S S T
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shrewsbury Notts County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
83%
75%
Both score Ø 79%
83%
75%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%
20 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shrewsbury Notts County
4′
C. Grant 0–1
J. Jones
23′
S. Austin 0–2
D. McGoldrick
Half-time 0–2
64′
🔁 C. Scott
↦ J. Hinchy
64′
🔁 D. Crowley
↦ J. Jones
64′
🔁 M. Platt
↦ A. Chicksen
1–2 J. Ogunfaolu-Kayode
68′
2–2 J. Shipley
T. O'Reilly
71′
G. Lloyd 🔁
↦ J. Ogunfaolu-Kayode
73′
74′
🔁 A. Jatta
↦ C. Grant
81′
🟨 David McGoldrick
3–2 J. Shipley
J. Rossiter
84′
T. Bloxham 🔁
↦ T. OReilly
86′
Luca Hoole 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 M. Cisse
↦ R. Cundy
89′
A. Jatta 3–3
D. Crowley
Jordan Rossiter 🟨
91′
121′
D. McGoldrick
penalty missed
4–3 J. Shipley
122′
123′
D. Crowley 4–4
H. Biggins
penalty missed
124′
125′
C. Edwards
penalty missed
5–4 G. Lloyd
126′
127′
C. Scott 5–5
6–5 T. Bloxham
128′
129′
A. Jatta 6–6
7–6 M. Benning
130′
Full-time 7–6

Line-ups

Shrewsbury

4-2-3-1
1 T. Savin G
2 L. Hoole D
22 A. Nsiala D
5 M. Feeney D
3 M. Benning D
7 C. Winchester M
4 J. Rossiter M
29 T. O'Reilly M
8 H. Biggins M
26 J. Shipley M
10 J. Ogunfaolu-Kayode F
Bench (6)
9 G. Lloyd
18 T. Bloxham
14 T. Perry
13 J. Young
27 J. Marquis
16 A. Pierre

Coach: P. Hurst

Notts County

3-4-2-1
21 S. Slocombe G
24 R. Cundy D
28 L. Macari D
4 J. Bedeau D
10 J. Jones M
22 C. Edwards M
6 J. Hinchy M
23 A. Chicksen M
8 S. Austin F
11 C. Grant F
17 D. McGoldrick F
Bench (7)
9 C. Scott
7 D. Crowley
5 M. Platt
29 A. Jatta
44 M. Cisse
40 R. Reynolds
26 A. Stone

Coach: S. Maynard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Speedie · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.