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League Cup
Referee: D Rock
Swansea
S S U T T
3–1
Full-time
Gillingham
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Gillingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

78% Possession 22%
13 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 0
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Swansea Gillingham
Kristian Pedersen 🟨
19′
1–0 Ronald
O. Cooper
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Hawkins
↦ M. Clark
46′
🔁 A. Rowe
↦ J. Nolan
Azeem Abdulai 🟨
50′
51′
🟥 Euan Williams
60′
🔁 G. Lapslie
↦ J. Williams
66′
🔁 M. Wyllie
↦ J. Gbode
L. Cullen 🔁
↦ Ž. Vipotnik
67′
J. Tymon 🔁
↦ N. Tjoe-A-On
67′
J. Key 🔁
↦ K. Naughton
67′
2–0 L. Cullen
J. Key
70′
Eom Ji-Sung 🔁
↦ Ronald
72′
Gonçalo Franco 🔁
↦ O. Cooper
73′
78′
🔁 J. Wakeling
↦ J. Clarke
87′
O. Hawkins 2–1
R. McKenzie
3–1 A. Abdulai
Eom Ji-Sung
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
26 K. Naughton D
5 B. Cabango D
3 K. Pedersen D
21 N. Tjoe-A-On D
4 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
47 A. Abdulai M
31 O. Cooper M
35 Ronald M
9 Ž. Vipotnik F
Bench (9)
20 L. Cullen
14 J. Tymon
2 J. Key
10 Eom Ji-Sung
17 Gonçalo Franco
44 J. Thomas
6 H. Darling
29 N. Broome
43 D. Watts

Coach: L. Williams

Gillingham

4-2-3-1
1 G. Morris G
31 A. Giles D
5 M. Ehmer D
22 S. Ogie D
3 M. Clark D
14 R. McKenzie M
21 E. Williams M
7 J. Nolan M
10 J. Williams M
17 J. Clarke M
29 J. Gbode F
Bench (6)
12 O. Hawkins
11 A. Rowe
32 G. Lapslie
18 M. Wyllie
24 J. Wakeling
25 J. Turner

Coach: M. Bonner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rock · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.