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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Karlsen

ASA Aarhus

T T

1–2

Full-time

Thisted FC

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ASA Aarhus Thisted FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

4,5

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

3,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	Holstebro	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Esbjerg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Frem	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Solrød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	B 1909	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Gørslev	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Avarta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	NB Bornholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Morud/Veflinge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	B 93	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kolding B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Middelfart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
81	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
84	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
85	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
86	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Solrød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	B 1909	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Gørslev	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	NB Bornholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Morud/Veflinge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Kolding B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Middelfart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
35	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
36	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
37	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
38	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
39	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
40	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
41	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
42	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
43	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	Holstebro	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Esbjerg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Frem	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Avarta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	B 93	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ASA Aarhus Thisted FC

5′

⚽ V. Engstrøm 0–1

32′

🔁 M. Gyldenløve-Lyebalk

↦ E. Lagergaard

35′

⚽ A. Christiansen 0–2

Half-time 0–2

46′

🔁 H. Sørensen

↦ L. Vestergaard

46′

🔁 J. Dalgaard

↦ J. Foe Nuphaus

46′

🔁 N. Zøhner

↦ A. Christiansen

B. Berg 🔁

↦ J. Dahl

54′

P. Mundt 🔁

↦ C. Jørgensen

54′

1–2 C. Pinholt ⚽

55′

63′

🔁 O. Thomassen

↦ V. Engstrøm

J. Hagemann-Madsen 🔁

↦ C. Abildgaard

72′

K. Kruse 🔁

↦ A. Plagborg

72′

M. Hemmer-Hansen 🔁

↦ C. Pinholt

82′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

ASA Aarhus

9 J. Dahl

8 C. Abildgaard

1 M. Mortensen

2 A. Nicolaisen

12 C. Pinholt

4 C. Jørgensen

10 M. Egelind

7 A. Lauridsen

11 A. Plagborg

5 D. Kristoffersen

13 T. Sønnichsen

Bench (7)

6 B. Berg

3 P. Mundt

16 J. Hagemann-Madsen

15 K. Kruse

14 M. Hemmer-Hansen

17 J. Petersen

18 L. Frese

Coach: K. Kristiansen

Thisted FC

1 A. Raahauge

21 J. Foe Nuphaus

4 M. Myrthue

24 E. Lagergaard

3 E. Laustsen

11 C. Hørby

9 Mathias Andersen

27 L. Vestergaard

32 Magnus Andersen

18 A. Christiansen

22 V. Engstrøm

Bench (7)

5 M. Gyldenløve-Lyebalk

20 H. Sørensen

33 J. Dalgaard

7 N. Zøhner

28 O. Thomassen

10 M. Maarouf

15 S. Stricker

Coach: D. Kristensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

8. Aug POK 3 years ago

4. Aug POK 4 years ago

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

ASA Aarhus

Thisted FC

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee