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League Cup
Referee: A Chilowicz
Charlton
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Birmingham
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
23 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Jul -20 Birmingham – Charlton 1–1 14. Sep -19 Charlton – Birmingham 0–1 2. Apr -16 Charlton – Birmingham 2–1 21. Nov -15 Birmingham – Charlton 0–1

Match report

Charlton Birmingham
Macaulay Gillesphey 🟨
6′
Luke Berry 🟨
15′
27′
🟨 Keshi Anderson
32′
⚽ B. Khela 0–1
K. Anderson
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Dion Sanderson
57′
🔁 A. May
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
58′
🔁 A. Cochrane
↦ B. Khela
58′
🔁 Paik Seung-Ho
↦ T. Roberts
Z. Mitchell 🔁
↦ R. Edmonds-Green
66′
C. Aneke 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
66′
G. Docherty 🔁
↦ L. Berry
66′
T. Edun 🔁
↦ K. Anderson
66′
69′
🔁 A. Sampsted
↦ E. Laird
K. Ramsay 🔁
↦ T. Watson
76′
78′
🟨 Dion Sanderson
78′
🟥 Dion Sanderson
79′
🔁 K. Bielik
↦ E. Hansson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charlton

5-3-2
25 W. Mannion G
27 T. Watson D
23 R. Edmonds-Green D
5 L. Jones D
3 M. Gillesphey D
26 T. Small D
6 C. Coventry M
8 L. Berry M
18 K. Anderson M
29 D. Kanu F
7 T. Campbell F
Bench (9)
20 Z. Mitchell
22 C. Aneke
10 G. Docherty
17 T. Edun
2 K. Ramsay
4 A. Mitchell
9 G. Yahyai
21 A. Maynard-Brewer
16 J. Edwards

Coach: N. Jones

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
21 R. Allsop G
2 E. Laird D
4 C. Klarer D
5 D. Sanderson D
27 B. Khela D
8 T. Roberts M
12 M. Leonard M
14 K. Anderson M
26 L. Harris M
7 E. Hansson M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (9)
9 A. May
20 A. Cochrane
13 Paik Seung-Ho
23 A. Sampsted
6 K. Bielik
33 A. Yokoyama
11 K. Miyoshi
17 S. Dembélé
45 B. Peacock-Farrell

Coach: C. Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.