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League Cup
Referee: S Jackson
Barrow
U T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Port Vale
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barrow Port Vale
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barrow Port Vale
1–0 G. Garner ⚽
T. Vassell
1′
26′
⚽ R. Paton 1–1
Dean Campbell 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Tolaj
↦ B. Baker-Boaitey
48′
🟨 James Plant
Ben Jackson 🟨
49′
E. Acquah 🔁
↦ G. Garner
62′
N. Eccleston 🔁
↦ R. Feely
62′
62′
🔁 T. Sang
↦ R. Paton
66′
⚽ T. Sang 1–2
L. Tolaj
2–2 E. Acquah ⚽
R. Gotts
70′
D. Telford 🔁
↦ R. Gotts
71′
E. Newby 🔁
↦ C. Mahoney
71′
3–2 B. Jackson ⚽
D. Campbell
76′
77′
🔁 A. Buah
↦ B. Dipepa
84′
🔁 R. Croasdale
↦ J. Shorrock
D. Worrall 🔁
↦ K. Kouyate
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Barrow

4-2-3-1
1 P. Farman G
24 R. Feely D
42 T. Vassell D
6 N. Canavan D
30 B. Jackson D
15 R. Gotts M
4 D. Campbell M
23 C. Mahoney M
8 K. Spence M
17 K. Kouyate M
10 G. Garner F
Bench (9)
20 E. Acquah
2 N. Eccleston
19 D. Telford
11 E. Newby
7 D. Worrall
9 A. Dallas
16 S. Foley
21 W. Stanway
29 J. Tiensia

Coach: S. Clemence

Port Vale

3-4-2-1
13 B. Amos G
30 B. Lomax D
22 J. Debrah D
24 K. John D
21 J. Plant M
16 J. Lowe M
14 F. Ojo M
23 J. Shorrock M
37 B. Baker-Boaitey F
12 B. Dipepa F
17 R. Paton F
Bench (9)
19 L. Tolaj
20 T. Sang
28 A. Buah
18 R. Croasdale
31 L. Francis
4 B. Heneghan
1 C. Ripley
5 C. Hall
34 L. Cousins

Coach: D. Moore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.