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League Cup
Referee: A Herczeg
Bolton
T S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Mansfield Town
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Mansfield Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bolton Mansfield Town
28′
🟨 Calum MacDonald
George Johnston 🟨
38′
John McAtee 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
E. Toal 🔁
↦ Ricardo
46′
46′
🔁 A. Oshilaja
↦ S. McLaughlin
46′
🔁 J. Bowery
↦ A. Flint
D. Charles 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
62′
63′
🔁 D. Keillor-Dunn
↦ B. Quinn
63′
🔁 L. Gregory
↦ W. Evans
G. Thomason 🔁
↦ A. Morley
63′
A. Collins 🔁
↦ S. Arfield
63′
67′
🟨 Adedeji Oshilaja
1–0 G. Thomason ⚽
68′
J. Dacres-Cogley 🔁
↦ C. Forino
74′
78′
🟨 Hiram Boateng
79′
🔁 E. Hewitt
↦ G. Williams
83′
⚽ D. Keillor-Dunn 1–1
H. Boateng
93′
🟨 Davis Keillor-Dunn
2–1 V. Adeboyejo ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ J. Bowery 2–2
G. Thomason ❌
penalty missed
123′
124′
⚽ L. Gregory 2–3
3–3 A. Collins ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ E. Hewitt 3–4
R. Williams ❌
penalty missed
127′
128′
❌ H. Boateng
penalty missed
4–4 D. Charles ⚽
129′
130′
❌ A. Lewis
penalty missed
5–4 J. Matete ⚽
131′
132′
⚽ C. MacDonald 5–5
6–5 J. Dacres-Cogley ⚽
133′
134′
❌ W. Swan
penalty missed
Full-time 6–5

Line-ups

Bolton

3-4-2-1
20 L. Southwood G
21 C. Forino D
5 Ricardo D
6 G. Johnston D
14 J. Osei-Tutu M
16 A. Morley M
28 J. Matete M
27 R. Williams M
37 S. Arfield F
45 J. McAtee F
9 V. Adeboyejo F
Bench (9)
18 E. Toal
10 D. Charles
4 G. Thomason
19 A. Collins
12 J. Dacres-Cogley
8 J. Sheehan
3 J. Iredale
23 S. Schön
13 J. Coleman

Coach: I. Evatt

Mansfield Town

4-2-3-1
1 C. Pym G
2 G. Williams D
14 A. Flint D
3 S. McLaughlin D
12 C. MacDonald D
8 A. Lewis M
44 H. Boateng M
26 W. Swan M
20 T. Nichols M
15 B. Quinn M
11 W. Evans F
Bench (9)
9 J. Bowery
23 A. Oshilaja
19 L. Gregory
40 D. Keillor-Dunn
4 E. Hewitt
7 L. Akins
36 F. Flanagan
13 S. Flinders
17 K. Baccus

Coach: N. Clough

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Herczeg · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.