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League Cup
Referee: Oliver Mackey
Bristol Rovers
T T S U T
0–2
Full-time
Cambridge United
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol Rovers Cambridge United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,05 xG 0,91
57% Possession 43%
7 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bristol Rovers Cambridge United
Kamil Conteh 🟨
23′
29′
⚽ L. Appere 0–1
S. Kaikai
Half-time 0–1
T. Moore 🔁
↦ A. Kilgour
46′
B. Bilongo 🔁
↦ J. Sparkes
46′
J. Senior 🔁
↦ M. Southam-Hales
61′
F. Cavegn 🔁
↦ E. Harrison
61′
O. Dewsbury 🔁
↦ I. Hutchinson
61′
67′
🟨 James Brophy
67′
🔁 D. Ball
↦ P. Mpanzu
67′
🔁 J. Brophy
↦ S. Kaikai
67′
🔁 R. Loft
↦ L. Appere
75′
⚽ R. Loft 0–2
J. Gibbons
76′
🔁 B. Knight
↦ E. Kachunga
83′
🔁 G. Hoddle
↦ S. McLoughlin
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bristol Rovers

3-4-3
1 L. Southwood G
25 R. Howley D
5 A. Kilgour D
6 C. Mola D
23 M. Southam-Hales M
22 K. Conteh M
8 I. Hutchinson M
3 J. Sparkes M
11 L. Thomas F
19 E. Harrison F
10 R. Sotiriou F
Bench (9)
2 J. Senior
13 B. Young
4 T. Moore
9 P. Omochere
15 D. Ellison
20 J. McEachran
27 B. Bilongo
29 F. Cavegn
43 O. Dewsbury

Coach: Darrell James Clarke

Cambridge United

4-2-3-1
1 J. Eastwood G
26 J. Gibbons D
23 M. Jobe D
6 K. Watts D
22 Z. Bradshaw D
21 S. McLoughlin M
17 P. Mpanzu M
2 L. Bennett M
10 E. Kachunga M
11 S. Kaikai M
9 L. Appere F
Bench (9)
25 B. Hughes
3 B. Purrington
4 D. Ball
7 J. Brophy
14 B. Knight
16 Z. Ibsen Rossi
18 R. Loft
38 G. Hoddle
27 G. McConnell

Coach: Neil Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.