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League Cup
Referee: Aaron Bannister
Accrington ST
T S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Peterborough
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Accrington ST Peterborough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,46 xG 0,68
28% Possession 72%
10 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 8
17 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Accrington ST Peterborough
1–0 A. Henderson ⚽
1′
Logan Pye 🟨
21′
2–0 K. Mooney ⚽
A. Henderson
25′
Dan Martin 🟨
31′
Alex Henderson 🟨
35′
I. Sinclair 🔁
↦ A. Henderson
41′
Charlie Brown 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Klaidi Lolos
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Odoh
↦ K. Lolos
56′
🟨 Kyrell Lisbie
D. Love 🔁
↦ L. Pye
59′
J. Woods 🔁
↦ A. Popoola
59′
L. Coyle 🔁
↦ D. Martin
60′
63′
🔁 C. Hayes
↦ K. Lisbie
Donald Love 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 L. Mendonca
↦ J. Dornelly
F. Tunstall 🔁
↦ C. Brown
78′
79′
⚽ A. Collins 2–1
C. Hayes
Freddie Sass 🟨
92′
95′
🔁 B. Shofowoke
↦ B. Khela
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2
13 O. Wright
17 D. Matthews
5 F. Rawson D
3 F. Sass
20 C. Brown M
22 D. Martin M
28 S. Conneely M
15 L. Pye M
10 A. Henderson F
9 K. Mooney F
19 A. Popoola F
Bench (7)
21 J. Rogerson
2 D. Love
6 L. Coyle
11 I. Sinclair
18 C. Caton
31 F. Tunstall
39 J. Woods

Coach: John Doolan

Peterborough

4-3-1-2
21 V. Reyes G
33 J. Dornelly D
26 D. Okagbue D
5 O. Wallin D
23 H. Mills D
8 B. Khela M
4 A. Collins M
22 D. O'Brien-Brady M
7 K. Lolos M
17 K. Lisbie F
19 G. Lindgren F
Bench (7)
49 B. Smith
32 L. Mendonca
15 G. Nevett
35 J. Andrews
18 C. Hayes
10 A. Odoh
36 B. Shofowoke

Coach: Darren Ferguson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.