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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Alcorcon
S T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Santander
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
15%
46%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
31%
54%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 21. · Santander 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 13 9 1 3 +15 28
2 Sp Gijon 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Eibar 14 8 2 4 +8 26
4 Valladolid 14 8 1 5 +2 25
5 Espanol 14 7 3 4 +8 24
6 Levante 14 6 6 2 +4 24
7 Ferrol 14 6 5 3 +2 23
8 Tenerife 14 7 2 5 +2 23
9 Santander 13 6 3 4 +4 21
10 Zaragoza 13 6 3 4 +4 21
11 Elche 14 5 5 4 -3 20
12 Mirandes 14 5 3 6 -1 18
13 Oviedo 13 4 5 4 +4 17
14 Burgos 13 5 2 6 -2 17
15 Eldense 13 4 4 5 -4 16
16 Andorra 14 5 1 8 -5 16
17 Albacete 14 4 4 6 -6 16
18 Villarreal B 14 3 4 7 -6 13
19 Huesca 14 2 6 6 -5 12
20 Amorebieta 14 2 4 8 -10 10
21 Alcorcon 13 2 4 7 -11 10
22 Cartagena 13 1 3 9 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Santander
1–0 Jacobo González
13′
15′
🟨 Dani Fernández
Half-time 2–0
2–0 E. Addai
Jacobo González
49′
60′
🔁 Juan Carlos Arana
↦ Ekain Zenitagoia
Jacobo González 🟨
64′
Jacobo González ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
Dyego Sousa 🔁
↦ Javi Lara
72′
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Jacobo González
72′
72′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ Dani Fernández
Dyego Sousa 🟨
73′
73′
🔁 Aritz Aldasoro
↦ Iván Morante
Iñigo García 🔁
↦ Y. Eteki
77′
80′
🔁 Mario García
↦ Saúl García
3–0 Javi Castro
81′
David Morillas 🔁
↦ Xavi Quintillà
84′
Chema Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Chiki
84′
85′
Juan Carlos Arana 3–1
Andrés Martín
Iago López Carracedo 🟨
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Alcorcon

4-3-3
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
2 Javi Castro D
6 J. Babin D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
18 Y. Eteki M
4 Óscar Rivas M
15 Javi Lara M
8 Jacobo González F
9 Chiki F
26 E. Addai F
Bench (10)
11 Dyego Sousa
22 Juan Artola
30 Iñigo García
3 David Morillas
23 Chema Rodríguez
13 Lucas Anacker
14 Álex López
29 Èric Callis
7 Álvaro Bustos
21 Koldo Obieta

Coach: Fran Fernández

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Germán Sánchez D
3 Saúl García D
16 Iván Morante M
19 C. Grenier M
11 Andrés Martín M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
14 Ekain Zenitagoia F
Bench (12)
9 Juan Carlos Arana
7 Marco Sangalli
21 Aritz Aldasoro
40 Mario García
8 Jorge Pombo
15 Rubén Alves
27 Yeray Cabanzón
1 Miquel Parera
20 L. Junior
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
22 Juan Gutiérrez
4 Pol Moreno

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,22
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.