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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
Waalwijk
T U T U S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
61%
44%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 10. · Go Ahead Eagles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 19 12 6 1 +27 42
2 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 4 3 +16 40
3 PSV Eindhoven 19 12 2 5 +24 38
4 Ajax 19 10 7 2 +30 37
5 Twente 17 10 5 2 +20 35
6 Sparta Rotterdam 17 9 5 3 +15 32
7 Utrecht 18 7 6 5 -1 27
8 Heerenveen 18 6 6 6 -2 24
9 Nijmegen 19 4 11 4 +3 23
10 Waalwijk 18 5 7 6 -2 22
11 For Sittard 19 6 4 9 -8 22
12 Go Ahead Eagles 18 4 7 7 -6 19
13 Vitesse 19 4 7 8 -12 19
14 Excelsior 19 6 1 12 -23 19
15 Volendam 19 4 4 11 -23 16
16 FC Emmen 19 3 6 10 -19 15
17 Cambuur 19 3 3 13 -19 12
18 Groningen 19 3 3 13 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles
1–0 M. Seuntjens
Y. Oukili
24′
Pelle Clement 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
46′
José Fontán 1–1
O. Edvardsen
Julian Lelieveld 🟨
47′
55′
🟨 Jamal Amofa
62′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ O. Edvardsen
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ J. Lelieveld
65′
S. Bakari 🔁
↦ L. Nieuwpoort
65′
69′
🟨 Jose Fontán
2–1 M. Kramer
M. Seuntjens
71′
3–1 Y. Oukili
M. Seuntjens
78′
S. Augustijns 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
80′
F. Jozefzoon 🔁
↦ P. Clement
81′
81′
🔁 R. Fernandes
↦ E. Linthorst
81′
🔁 F. Oppegård
↦ José Fontán
81′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ I. Lidberg
R. Kuijpers 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
15 L. Nieuwpoort D
5 T. Lutonda D
33 Y. Oukili M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
29 M. Kramer F
20 M. Seuntjens F
Bench (11)
7 Julen Lobete
22 S. Bakari
26 S. Augustijns
10 F. Jozefzoon
17 R. Kuijpers
13 M. Spenkelink
34 L. Wouters
21 Joel Pereira
37 C. Lokesa
12 H. Mulder
35 K. Felida

Coach: J. Oosting

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
25 J. Amofa D
4 José Fontán D
8 E. Linthorst M
6 J. Idzes M
11 B. Adekanye M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (10)
19 S. Sow
7 R. Fernandes
26 F. Oppegård
27 F. Stokkers
24 J. Markelo
21 E. Llansana
22 E. Mulder
40 L. Plogmann
20 X. Blomme
33 F. Mattiello

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,53
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.