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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Betis
S S U T S
1–2
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 31%
39%
22%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 1,87
36% Possession 64%
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
3 Offside 6
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 6. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 15 2 1 +31 -0.3 47
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 +22 +0.7 42
3 Sociedad 19 12 3 4 +10 -0.0 39
4 Ath Madrid 19 10 4 5 +12 +4.2 34
5 Villarreal 19 9 4 6 +7 +2.1 31
6 Betis 18 9 4 5 +6 -0.2 31
7 Vallecano 19 8 5 6 +3 -0.5 29
8 Osasuna 19 8 4 7 +0 -2.2 28
9 Ath Bilbao 19 7 5 7 +5 -0.3 26
10 Mallorca 19 7 4 8 -3 -1.5 25
11 Almeria 19 6 4 9 -6 +0.9 22
12 Girona 19 5 6 8 -3 -2.4 21
13 Sevilla 19 5 6 8 -5 +4.1 21
14 Valencia 18 5 5 8 +4 +0.3 20
15 Espanol 19 4 8 7 -6 +0.1 20
16 Celta 19 5 5 9 -11 +0.4 20
17 Valladolid 19 6 2 11 -14 -2.8 20
18 Cadiz 19 4 7 8 -15 -0.1 19
19 Getafe 19 4 5 10 -10 -0.8 17
20 Elche 19 0 6 13 -27 -1.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Barcelona
William Carvalho 🟥
-5′
Half-time 0–0
A. Guardado 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
62′
Juanmi 🔁
↦ N. Fekir
63′
Aitor Ruibal 🟨
65′
65′
Raphinha 0–1
Alejandro Balde
Andrés Guardado 🟨
67′
Luiz Felipe 🟨
69′
Willian José 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
77′
Rodri 🔁
↦ Luiz Henrique
77′
Y. Sabaly 🔁
↦ Aitor Ruibal
78′
80′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Raphinha
80′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
R. Araujo
84′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ Gavi
0–3 J. Koundé
own goal
85′
90′
🔁 F. Kessie
↦ Pedri
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
24 Aitor Ruibal D
16 G. Pezzella D
19 Luiz Felipe D
20 Abner D
5 G. Rodríguez M
14 William Carvalho M
11 Luiz Henrique M
8 N. Fekir M
10 Sergio Canales M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (12)
18 A. Guardado
7 Juanmi
12 Willian José
28 Rodri
23 Y. Sabaly
33 Juan Miranda
6 Víctor Ruiz
3 Edgar González
2 Martín Montoya
1 C. Bravo
17 Joaquín
25 Dani Martín

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
4 R. Araujo D
15 A. Christensen D
28 Alejandro Balde D
21 F. de Jong M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
22 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
6 Gavi F
Bench (11)
10 Ansu Fati
11 Ferran Torres
19 F. Kessie
32 Pablo Torre
20 Sergi Roberto
36 Arnau Tenas
38 Ángel Alarcón
17 Marcos Alonso
13 Iñaki Peña
18 Jordi Alba
24 Eric García

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,09
U
4,05
B ✓
1,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.