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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Collu
Sampdoria
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Como
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cesena 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Avellino 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Modena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Monza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Cittadella 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Catania 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Torres 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Como
23′
🔁 E. Goldaniga
↦ R. Varane
1–0 N. Ioannou ⚽
M. Coda
37′
44′
⚽ P. Cutrone 1–1
Gabriel Strefezza
Half-time 1–1
61′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ A. Belotti
61′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ L. Mazzitelli
S. Giordano 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
68′
G. Tutino 🔁
↦ F. Borini
68′
71′
🟨 Lucas Da Cunha
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ E. Akinsanmiro
76′
R. Vieira 🔁
↦ A. Bellemo
76′
78′
🔁 M. Sala
↦ Alberto Moreno
78′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ P. Cutrone
M. Meulensteen 🔁
↦ Gerard Yepes
82′
89′
🟨 Simone Verdi
91′
🟨 Alessio Iovine
97′
🟨 Alessio Iovine
97′
🟥 Alessio Iovine
121′
⚽ L. da Cunha 1–2
2–2 R. Vieira ⚽
122′
123′
❌ S. Verdi
penalty missed
3–2 L. Benedetti ⚽
124′
125′
❌ M. Braunöder
penalty missed
M. Meulensteen ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ D. Baselli 3–3
4–3 M. Coda ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ Gabriel Strefezza 4–4
5–4 G. Tutino ⚽
130′
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-4-1-2
22 S. Ghidotti G
24 B. Bereszyński D
6 S. Romagnoli D
31 S. Vulikić D
18 L. Venuti M
28 Gerard Yepes M
7 A. Bellemo M
44 N. Ioannou M
15 E. Akinsanmiro F
9 M. Coda F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (15)
21 S. Giordano
10 G. Tutino
80 L. Benedetti
4 R. Vieira
17 M. Meulensteen
14 P. Kasami
30 N. Ravaglia
29 S. Girelli
8 M. Ricci
19 M. Stoppa
20 A. La Gumina
3 A. Barreca
1 P. Vismara
25 A. Ferrari
32 L. Zeqiraj

Coach: A. Pirlo

Como

4-2-3-1
25 Pepe Reina G
6 A. Iovine D
19 R. Varane D
93 F. Barba D
18 Alberto Moreno D
36 L. Mazzitelli M
27 M. Braunöder M
7 Gabriel Strefezza M
10 P. Cutrone M
33 L. da Cunha M
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (13)
5 E. Goldaniga
9 A. Gabrielloni
8 D. Baselli
3 M. Sala
90 S. Verdi
28 O. Abildgaard
13 A. Dossena
84 T. Cassandro
17 A. Cerri
1 E. Audero
22 M. Vigorito
23 N. Gioacchini
26 Y. Engelhardt

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.