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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
Ajax
S S S T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 58%
86%
29%
Points per game
2,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
3,9
3,6
Scored
3,1
1,4
Conceded
0,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+2,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%
23 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 2. · Go Ahead Eagles 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Ajax 7 6 0 1 +17 18
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 0 2 +15 18
4 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 +11 16
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Waalwijk 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Excelsior 7 3 0 4 -8 9
11 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
12 Groningen 8 2 2 4 -8 8
13 Cambuur 8 2 1 5 -6 7
14 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 0 5 -5 6
15 Vitesse 7 1 2 4 -9 5
16 Volendam 7 1 2 4 -13 5
17 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 -8 4
18 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Go Ahead Eagles
23′
🟨 Jamal Amofa
1–0 D. Klaassen
D. Tadić
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Nauber
↦ J. Amofa
S. Bergwijn 🔁
↦ L. Ocampos
63′
E. Álvarez 🔁
↦ F. Grillitsch
63′
63′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ I. Lidberg
72′
🔁 M. Berden
↦ B. Adekanye
78′
W. Willumsson 1–1
F. Stokkers
L. Lucca 🔁
↦ J. Timber
82′
S. Berghuis 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
82′
M. Kudus 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
83′
89′
🔁 José Fontán
↦ O. Edvardsen
Lorenzo Lucca 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ajax

4-2-3-1
22 R. Pasveer G
15 D. Rensch D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
17 D. Blind D
21 F. Grillitsch M
8 K. Taylor M
11 L. Ocampos M
6 D. Klaassen M
10 D. Tadić M
9 B. Brobbey F
Bench (11)
7 S. Bergwijn
4 E. Álvarez
18 L. Lucca
23 S. Berghuis
20 M. Kudus
35 Francisco Conceição
25 Y. Baas
1 M. Stekelenburg
29 L. Magallán
16 J. Gorter
26 Y. Regeer

Coach: A. Schreuder

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
6 J. Idzes D
5 B. Kuipers D
18 W. Willumsson M
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
23 O. Edvardsen M
11 B. Adekanye F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (11)
3 G. Nauber
27 F. Stokkers
17 M. Berden
4 José Fontán
21 E. Llansana
16 S. Jansen
15 T. Tekie
26 J. Bakker
7 R. Fernandes
33 F. Mattiello
19 S. Sow

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,08
U ✓
11,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,22
U2,5 ✓
4,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.