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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
1–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 29%
44%
13%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 13. · Heerenveen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 9 7 2 0 +12 23
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +19 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 +16 21
4 Feyenoord 9 6 2 1 +13 20
5 Twente 8 5 1 2 +9 16
6 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 +6 14
7 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 2 3 +3 14
8 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 -1 12
9 For Sittard 10 3 2 5 -5 11
10 Nijmegen 9 1 7 1 +2 10
11 Heerenveen 8 2 4 2 -1 10
12 Excelsior 9 3 1 5 -9 10
13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 2 5 -5 8
14 Cambuur 9 2 2 5 -6 8
15 Groningen 9 2 2 5 -9 8
16 FC Emmen 10 1 3 6 -14 6
17 Volendam 10 1 3 6 -17 6
18 Vitesse 9 1 2 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Heerenveen
Bobby Adekanye 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
52′
T. Haye 0–1
M. Köhlert
S. Sow 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
63′
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
63′
Enric Llansana 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 A. Colassin
↦ S. Olsson
T. Tekie 🔁
↦ E. Llansana
80′
G. Nauber 🔁
↦ M. Deijl
80′
80′
🔁 A. Tahiri
↦ T. Halilović
88′
🟨 Thom Haye
1–1 F. Stokkers
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
6 J. Idzes D
5 B. Kuipers D
10 P. Rommens M
21 E. Llansana M
11 B. Adekanye M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (12)
19 S. Sow
27 F. Stokkers
15 T. Tekie
3 G. Nauber
16 S. Jansen
24 J. Markelo
17 M. Berden
4 José Fontán
7 R. Fernandes
14 A. Aventisian
26 J. Bakker
20 X. Blomme

Coach: R. Hake

Heerenveen

3-4-1-2
44 A. Noppert G
4 S. van Beek D
6 S. van Ottele D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
27 M. van Ewijk M
33 T. Haye M
10 T. Halilović M
7 M. Köhlert M
19 S. Olsson F
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
9 A. Sarr F
Bench (9)
29 A. Colassin
26 A. Tahiri
22 R. Al Hajj
23 J. Bekkema
15 H. Ali
34 T. Zaal
13 R. Kaib
1 X. Mous
8 A. Timossi Andersson

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,31
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.