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Copa del Rey
Referee: Miguel González
2–2
Full-time
Santander
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
31 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
32 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
33 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zamora Santander
26′
🟨 J. Pombo
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Luismi Luengo
Carlos Ramos
46′
D. Hernandez 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 Andrés Martín
↦ Jorge Pombo
66′
🔁 Juan Carlos Arana
↦ Ekain Zenitagoia
70′
🟨 A. Martin
F. Sobron 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 J. Arana
76′
🔁 Iván Morante
↦ L. Junior
Juanan 🟨
77′
Theo García 🔁
↦ Juanan
77′
77′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ Íñigo Sainz-Maza
Asier Etxaburu 🔁
↦ Adrián Mance
78′
Pito Camacho 🔁
↦ L. Chaverra
80′
Jesús Muñoz 🔁
↦ Roger Marcè
86′
88′
🔁 Iñigo Vicente
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
93′
Andrés Martín 1–1
L. M. Luengo Herrera 🟨
100′
100′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
Theo 🟨
104′
Alejandro Morales 🔁
↦ Dani Hernández
105′
108′
Peque Fernández 1–2
K. Temenuzhkov 🔁
↦ Julen Castañeda
110′
115′
🟨 P. M. Parera
Pito Camacho 🟨
118′
2–2 Carlos Ramos
121′
3–2 Carlos Ramos
121′
122′
Iñigo Vicente
penalty missed
123′
C. Grenier 3–3
4–3 Pito Camacho
124′
125′
Iván Morante 4–4
5–4 Theo García
126′
127′
Andrés Martín 5–5
6–5 Asier Etxaburu
128′
Full-time 6–5

Line-ups

Zamora

13 Fermín Sobrón
22 Julen Castañeda
2 Carlos Parra
3 Luismi Luengo
20 Roger Marcè
5 Bolo
10 Carlos Ramos
11 Adrián Mance
8 Juanan
7 Dani Hernández
24 L. Chaverra
Bench (11)
14 Theo García
16 Asier Etxaburu
9 Pito Camacho
15 Jesús Muñoz
12 Alejandro Morales
19 K. Temenuzhkov
1 David Troya
18 Sergi Baldrich
6 Markel Goñi
17 Víctor López
25 Brian Bailón

Coach: David Movilla

Santander

1 Miquel Parera
15 Rubén Alves
4 Pol Moreno
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
40 Mario García
20 L. Junior
7 Marco Sangalli
8 Jorge Pombo
21 Aritz Aldasoro
27 Yeray Cabanzón
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
Bench (10)
9 Juan Carlos Arana
11 Andrés Martín
16 Iván Morante
17 Peque Fernández
10 Iñigo Vicente
19 C. Grenier
22 Juan Gutiérrez
23 Dani Fernández
13 Jokin Ezkieta
5 Germán Sánchez

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.