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DFB-Pokal

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Hertha

S T S T S

3–0

Full-time

Mainz

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

5,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 17. · Mainz 25. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
16	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
17	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
31	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
31	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
32	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
33	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
35	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
36	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
37	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
38	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
39	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
40	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
10	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.