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Copa del Rey
Referee: David Cambronero
Ucam Murcia
0–0
Full-time
Linares Deportivo
S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Turégano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Atlético Lugones 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Quintanar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ucam Murcia Linares Deportivo
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 D. Perejon
Sergio Chinchilla 🔁
↦ Fabián Urzain
61′
Yasser 🔁
↦ Fran Miranda
61′
Marcos Pérez 🔁
↦ Ramón Blázquez
61′
68′
🔁 E. Sutherland
↦ Berlanga
68′
🔁 Alberto Moreno
↦ Fran Ortuño
J. Raigal 🟨
77′
Arturo 🔁
↦ Jorge García
80′
Román Fita 🔁
↦ Josema Raigal
80′
85′
🔁 Álex Oyón
↦ Mawi
Víctor Sánchez 🔁
↦ Alberto Ródenas
95′
97′
🔁 Rafa Llorente
↦ Pepe Mena
105′
🟨 A. Moreno
113′
🟨 M. Molina
114′
🔁 Lucas Suárez
↦ Rodri
121′
⚽ Alberto Moreno 0–1
1–1 Albert Luque ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ Rafa Llorente 1–2
2–2 Yasser ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ Fran Varela 2–3
3–3 Arturo ⚽
126′
127′
❌ Lucas Suárez
penalty missed
Sergio Chinchilla ❌
penalty missed
128′
129′
⚽ Hugo Díaz 3–4
4–4 Javi Ramírez ⚽
130′
131′
⚽ Álex Oyón 4–5
5–5 Víctor Sánchez ⚽
132′
133′
⚽ Manolo Molina 5–6
6–6 José Alonso ⚽
134′
135′
⚽ Javier Rentero 6–7
Marcos Pérez ❌
penalty missed
136′
Full-time 6–7

Line-ups

Ucam Murcia

13 Miguel Serna
4 Javi Ramírez
3 Víctor Mena
16 José Alonso
6 Fran Miranda
22 Jorge García
10 Josema Raigal
21 Fabián Urzain
9 Alberto Ródenas
7 Ramón Blázquez
19 Albert Luque
Bench (11)
18 Sergio Chinchilla
14 Yasser
23 Marcos Pérez
20 Arturo
24 Román Fita
12 Víctor Sánchez
11 José Fran
1 Zorro
26 Víctor Esquerdo
30 Iker Abellán
32 David Vidal

Coach: Víctor Cea

Linares Deportivo

13 Samu Casado
3 Fran Varela
4 Manolo Molina
18 Dani Perejón
19 Fran Ortuño
8 Rodri
9 Pepe Mena
5 Javier Rentero
7 Hugo Díaz
10 Mawi
11 Berlanga
Bench (9)
20 E. Sutherland
6 Alberto Moreno
27 Álex Oyón
21 Rafa Llorente
28 Lucas Suárez
1 E. Juskevicius
30 Miguel Carrillo
29 Zaki
2 Tano Bonnín

Coach: Óscar Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.