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Copa del Rey

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Utebo

1–2

Full-time

Mirandes

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utebo Mirandes

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
36	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utebo Mirandes

0–1 Diego Moreno ⚽

own goal

42′

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 Pablo Tomeo

↦ Javi Martón

46′

🔁 I. Chaira

↦ Alberto Reina

53′

⚽ Pablo Tomeo 0–2

Alan Godoy

Oier Sarriegi 🔁

↦ Ángel Pérez

61′

Eneko Azurmendi 🔁

↦ Álvaro Alvira

61′

🔁 J. Gómez

↦ Diego Moreno

D. Sanchez 🟨

65′

68′

🟨 N. Iosifov

Luis Forcén 🔁

↦ David Sánchez

74′

Álvaro Meseguer 🔁

↦ Eric Iglesias

74′

78′

🔁 Sergio Barcia

↦ M. Lachuer

81′

🟨 Barbu

Machote 🟨

88′

90′

🔁 Pablo Ramón

↦ N. Iosifov

94′

⚽ I. Durdov 0–3

Tachi

Nene 🔁

↦ David Marín

95′

101′

🟨 P. Tomeo

105′

🔁 Álvaro Sanz

↦ Tachi

Toni 🟨

112′

115′

🟨 P. Ramon

Javier Latas 🔁

↦ Javi Hernández

119′

123′

🟨 J. Gomez

Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Utebo

13 Joel Jiménez

21 Toni Pérez

5 Guti

6 Machote

3 Álvaro Alvira

15 Javi Hernández

Ángel Pérez

16 David Sánchez

8 David Marín

10 Diego Suárez

7 Eric Iglesias

Bench (7)

14 Oier Sarriegi

18 Eneko Azurmendi

11 Luis Forcén

4 Álvaro Meseguer

22 Nene

24 Javier Latas

1 Jorge Chanza

Coach: Juan Carlos Beltrán

Mirandes

Luis López

5 Tachi

26 Juan María Alcedo

21 Diego Moreno

3 Barbu

Alberto Reina

M. Lachuer

14 I. Durdov

N. Iosifov

Javi Martón

29 Alan Godoy

Bench (7)

15 Pablo Tomeo

11 I. Chaira

24 J. Gómez

4 Sergio Barcia

27 Pablo Ramón

8 Álvaro Sanz

1 Ramón Juan

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

13. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Utebo

Mirandes

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee