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Copa del Rey
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
1–5
Full-time
Valladolid
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peña Deportiva Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Buñol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Turégano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Atlético Lugones 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Tardienta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Boiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Quintanar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Peña Deportiva Valladolid
17′
Víctor Meseguer 0–1
A. Tuhami
24′
🟨 A. Quintana
26′
🟨 Bikoue
Half-time 0–2
50′
César de la Hoz 0–2
59′
🟨 I. G. Munoz
69′
Víctor Meseguer 0–3
César de la Hoz
Aitor Albizu 🔁
↦ Guille Thompson
70′
Jaume Tovar 🔁
↦ Ian Martínez
70′
70′
🔁 Luis Pérez
↦ Iván Garriel
70′
🔁 Iván Sánchez
↦ Joni Montiel
71′
Víctor Meseguer 0–4
Iván Sánchez
G. J. Navarro Sole 🟨
75′
Angelito 🔁
↦ Jon Elorza
76′
Juan Ramon 🔁
↦ Marc Fraile
76′
Moller 🔁
↦ Marc Fuentes
76′
77′
🔁 Chuky San José
↦ David Torres
77′
🔁 F. Boyomo
↦ A. Tuhami
78′
Alberto Quintana 0–5
Iván Sánchez
1–5 Jaume Tovar
Giovanni Navarro
84′
85′
🔁 E. Frimpong
↦ Alberto Quintana
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Peña Deportiva

3-4-3
1 Javi Seral G
15 Marc Fuentes
14 Gonzalo Pereira D
5 Sergio Chica D
20 Jon Elorza M
11 Marc Fraile
18 Guille Thompson M
16 Álex Rodríguez M
7 Giovanni Navarro F
19 A. Mejía
23 Ian Martínez
Bench (8)
4 Aitor Albizu
9 Jaume Tovar
30 Angelito
24 Juan Ramon
25 Moller
17 David Ballarín
12 Daniel Torices
13 Edu Frías

Coach: Alberto Gallego

Valladolid

4-1-4-1
1 Jordi Masip G
22 Lucas Rosa D
26 Alberto Quintana D
3 David Torres D
29 Iván Garriel D
16 César de la Hoz M
14 M. Malsa M
4 Víctor Meseguer M
21 Joni Montiel M
23 A. Tuhami M
35 Iván Cédric F
Bench (10)
2 Luis Pérez
10 Iván Sánchez
28 Chuky San José
6 F. Boyomo
37 E. Frimpong
8 Monchu
7 M. Sylla
36 B. Akinsola
20 S. Jurić
31 Arnau Rafús

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.