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DFB-Pokal
Referee: R Hempel
Sandhausen
T T T T U
2–5
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandhausen Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
8,0
Scored
3,0
8,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+8,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

27% Possession 73%
11 Shots 30
3 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandhausen 31. · Leverkusen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Kaiserslautern 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 St Pauli 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 FC 08 Homburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hamburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
10 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
11 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +7 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +7 3
13 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +6 3
14 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 FC Viktoria Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 FC Saarbrücken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 SpVgg Unterhaching 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Bielefeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
31 Sandhausen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Hansa Rostock 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
57 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
61 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandhausen Leverkusen
Alexander Fuchs 🟨
20′
21′
E. Palacios 0–1
28′
🟨 Exequiel Palacios
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ E. Tapsoba
Franck Evina 🟨
49′
1–1 C. Ehlich
F. Evina
50′
54′
J. Tah 1–2
N. Amiri
2–2 Y. Ben Balla
A. El-Zein
56′
63′
🔁 G. Xhaka
↦ E. Palacios
64′
🔁 F. Wirtz
↦ N. Amiri
64′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ N. Tella
64′
🔁 Álex Grimaldo
↦ P. Hincapié
T. Maciejewski 🔁
↦ F. Evina
66′
71′
🟨 Alejandro Grimaldo
R. Hennings 🔁
↦ A. El-Zein
74′
D. Otto 🔁
↦ R. Meier
74′
77′
🟨 Adam Hložek
L. Burcu 🔁
↦ S. Stolze
85′
85′
A. Hložek 2–3
88′
A. Adli 2–4
J. Frimpong
92′
A. Adli 2–5
F. Wirtz
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Sandhausen

4-2-3-1
1 N. Rehnen G
3 C. Ehlich D
16 A. Fuchs D
14 M. Geschwill D
31 J. Weik D
15 A. Mühling M
26 Y. Ben Balla M
36 S. Stolze M
6 A. El-Zein M
9 F. Evina M
8 R. Meier F
Bench (9)
20 T. Maciejewski
10 R. Hennings
17 D. Otto
11 L. Burcu
7 J. Richardson
30 D. Klein
5 L. Schuster
21 F. Göttlicher
32 D. Lokaj

Coach: J. Keller

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
17 M. Kovář G
2 J. Stanišić D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
8 R. Andrich M
25 E. Palacios M
21 A. Adli M
11 N. Amiri M
19 N. Tella M
23 A. Hložek F
Bench (9)
6 O. Kossounou
34 G. Xhaka
10 F. Wirtz
30 J. Frimpong
20 Álex Grimaldo
1 L. Hrádecký
7 J. Hofmann
22 V. Boniface
18 N. Mbamba

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.