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Copa del Rey

Referee: Rafael Sánchez

Real Jaén

2–3

Full-time

Eldense

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0 Shots 0

0 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 0

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
29	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Jaén Eldense

J. Segura 🟨

11′

1–0 Brian Triviño ⚽

Mario Martos

24′

33′

🔁 Álex Bernal

↦ Y. Lachhab

Half-time 1–1

46′

⚽ Miguel Marí 1–1

Joel Jorquera

55′

🔁 Carlos Hernández

↦ Piña

56′

🔁 Juanto

↦ Arnau Ortiz

Joselillo 🔁

↦ Diego García

60′

61′

🟨 F. Andone

2–1 Mario Martos ⚽

Joselillo

62′

65′

🔁 Toni Abad

↦ F. Andone

66′

🔁 Iván Chapela

↦ Miguel Llambrich

P. De castro Pecino 🟨

69′

Gonzalo Guzmán 🔁

↦ Mario Martos

73′

Iván Aguilar 🔁

↦ Brian Triviño

74′

75′

🟨 Toni Abad

87′

⚽ Derick Poloni 2–2

Mauro Cabello 🔁

↦ Juanma

88′

Óscar Lozano 🔁

↦ Miguel Cancelo

89′

P. Adri 🟨

91′

⚽ Juanto 2–3

P. De castro Pecino 🟨

94′

P. De castro Pecino 🟥

94′

Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Real Jaén

4-3-3

1 Javi Sánchez G

15 Pablo de Castro

4 José Espín D

17 Javi Moyano D

3 David León

2 Miguel Cancelo

10 Adri Paz

16 Juanma M

18 Diego García

11 Mario Martos

19 Brian Triviño

Bench (10)

8 Joselillo

21 Gonzalo Guzmán

14 Iván Aguilar

20 Mauro Cabello

22 Óscar Lozano

13 Álvaro Chica

12 Juanpe

9 E. Aguado

5 Rafa

6 Adrián Ruiz

Coach: Emilio Fajardo

Eldense

4-4-2

Álvaro Aceves G

12 Derick Poloni D

4 D. Đumić D

15 Miguel Marí D

Piña D

19 Joel Jorquera M

14 Miguel Llambrich M

Y. Lachhab M

Jesús Clemente M

7 F. Andone F

Arnau Ortiz F

Bench (9)

21 Álex Bernal

6 Carlos Hernández

11 Juanto

2 Toni Abad

20 Iván Chapela

1 Guille Vallejo

8 Sergio Ortu

10 Cris Montes

22 M. Doué

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,0 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,1 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Real Jaén

Eldense

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee