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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: C Moen
Aalesund
S S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Sogndal
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
5,2
2,0
Scored
3,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
55%
41%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 68%
68%
68%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 3. · Sogndal 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 23 16 4 3 +34 52
2 Jerv 22 13 5 4 +5 44
3 Aalesund 22 12 7 3 +18 43
4 Fredrikstad 22 11 6 5 +15 39
5 Sogndal 22 9 6 7 +7 33
6 KFUM Oslo 21 9 6 6 +1 33
7 Ranheim 23 8 6 9 +1 30
8 Asane 23 8 5 10 -12 29
9 Raufoss 23 8 4 11 +1 28
10 Start 23 7 6 10 -4 27
11 Sandnes ULF 23 7 6 10 -7 27
12 Bryne 23 7 4 12 -6 25
13 Grorud 23 7 3 13 -14 24
14 Stjørdals-Blink 23 7 3 13 -15 24
15 Ull/Kisa 23 6 5 12 -13 23
16 Strommen 23 2 12 9 -11 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sogndal
1–0 E. Segberg
2′
2–0 N. Castro
9′
Half-time 2–0
E. Segberg 🟨
56′
67′
🔁 E. Kupen
↦ A. Adams
67′
🔁 T. Bjørnebye
↦ E. Pálsson
67′
🔁 R. Darcy
↦ A. Nouri
T. Kallevåg 🔁
↦ N. Castro
72′
I. Määttä 🔁
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
72′
I. Dybvik 🟨
75′
M. Diaw 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
78′
83′
🔁 N. Solskjær
↦ J. Bakke
M. Brajanac 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
90′
J. Hatlehol 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
90′
3–0 M. Brajanac
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
5 D. Fällman
33 S. Rafn
18 D. Ólafsson
3 Q. Jansen
29 K. Barmen
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 S. Haugen
9 N. Castro
Bench (9)
14 T. Kallevåg
19 I. Määttä
17 M. Diaw
10 M. Brajanac
16 J. Hatlehol
1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
32 K. Ødven
38 N. Hopland

Coach: L. Nilsen

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
30 A. Nouri
2 P. Flo
4 M. Roseth
5 D. Eid
16 E. Lereng
8 E. Pálsson
15 K. Nessø
25 J. Bakke
7 S. Skålevik
10 A. Adams
Bench (5)
9 E. Kupen
19 T. Bjørnebye
26 R. Darcy
20 N. Solskjær
13 J. Johnsen

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.