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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Tirol
T T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Hartberg
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 12. · Hartberg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 11 10 1 0 +21 31
2 Sturm Graz 10 6 2 2 +13 20
3 A. Klagenfurt 11 3 5 3 -1 14
4 Admira 11 3 4 4 +0 13
5 Ried 10 3 4 3 -8 13
6 Hartberg 10 3 3 4 +1 12
7 SK Rapid 11 3 3 5 +0 12
8 Austria Vienna 11 2 6 3 +0 12
9 Wolfsberger AC 10 3 3 4 -5 12
10 LASK 10 2 4 4 -4 10
11 Altach 11 2 4 5 -8 10
12 Tirol 10 1 5 4 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
4′
M. Gollner 0–1
Denis Tomic 🟨
35′
43′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
1–1 T. Petsos
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 N. Belaković
↦ M. Gollner
49′
D. Avdijaj 1–2
Giacomo Vrioni 🟨
53′
Renny Smith 🟨
55′
63′
🟨 Thomas Rotter
M. Wallner 🔁
↦ G. Vrioni
69′
L. Klassen 🔁
↦ R. Smith
69′
72′
🟨 Donis Avdijaj
Ferdinand Oswald 🟥
79′
B. Ozegovic 🔁
↦ D. Tomic
80′
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ B. Blume
80′
80′
🔁 G. Lemoine
↦ N. Niemann
2–2 M. Awoudja
L. Klassen
84′
J. Forst 🔁
↦ T. Sabitzer
90′
93′
🔁 P. Erhardt
↦ T. Kainz
93′
🔁 P. Sturm
↦ J. Heil
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Tirol

3-5-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
15 M. Awoudja D
6 T. Petsos D
10 B. Blume M
8 R. Smith M
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
18 D. Tomic M
9 G. Vrioni F
7 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (7)
27 M. Wallner
3 L. Klassen
13 B. Ozegovic
17 J. Naschberger
19 J. Forst
14 A. Ranacher
11 F. Kerber

Coach: T. Silberberger

Hartberg

3-5-2
1 R. Swete G
16 M. Sonnleitner D
14 C. Klem M
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
22 D. Stec M
23 T. Kainz M
77 D. Avdijaj F
28 J. Heil M
11 M. Horvat M
10 N. Niemann F
Bench (7)
9 N. Belaković
26 G. Lemoine
6 P. Erhardt
18 P. Sturm
12 M. Steinwender
35 R. Sallinger
27 T. Kofler

Coach: K. Russ

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.