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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Udinese
S T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Bologna
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 5
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 13. · Bologna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 8 7 1 0 +11 22
2 Napoli 7 7 0 0 +15 21
3 Inter 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Roma 7 5 0 2 +8 15
5 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Fiorentina 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Juventus 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Atalanta 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Bologna 7 3 2 2 -2 11
10 Empoli 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Torino 7 2 2 3 +2 8
12 Verona 8 2 2 4 +0 8
13 Udinese 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Sassuolo 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Spezia 8 2 1 5 -10 7
16 Sampdoria 8 1 3 4 -5 6
17 Cagliari 8 1 3 4 -6 6
18 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -6 5
19 Venezia 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Salernitana 8 1 1 6 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Bologna
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
23′
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
38′
Roberto Pereyra 🟥
38′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Mattias Svanberg
56′
🔁 K. Michael
↦ M. Svanberg
67′
M. Barrow 0–1
N. Domínguez
I. Pussetto 🔁
↦ D. Udogie
68′
N. Molina 🔁
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
68′
68′
🔁 A. Skov Olsen
↦ A. Theate
68′
🔁 G. Medel
↦ L. Binks
72′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ K. Michael
81′
🟨 Emanuel Vignato
1–1 Beto
I. Pussetto
82′
Gerard Deulofeu 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Łukasz Skorupski
84′
🟨 Adama Soumaoro
85′
🟨 Nicolás Domínguez
B. Soppy 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
86′
89′
🟨 Aaron Hickey
94′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
13 D. Udogie M
37 R. Pereyra M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
10 Deulofeu F
9 Beto F
Bench (11)
23 I. Pussetto
16 N. Molina
93 B. Soppy
8 M. Jajalo
65 M. Carnelos
45 F. Forestieri
87 S. De Maio
24 L. Samardžić
20 D. Padelli
5 T. Arslan
4 M. Zeegelaar

Coach: L. Gotti

Bologna

3-4-2-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri M
5 A. Soumaoro D
2 L. Binks D
6 A. Theate D
3 A. Hickey M
21 R. Soriano F
32 M. Svanberg M
8 N. Domínguez M
9 M. Arnautović F
99 M. Barrow F
Bench (12)
16 K. Michael
11 A. Skov Olsen
17 G. Medel
55 E. Vignato
19 F. Santander
15 I. Mbaye
22 F. Bardi
20 S. van Hooijdonk
35 M. Dijks
7 R. Orsolini
25 G. Corbo
10 N. Sansone

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U ✓
3,36
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.