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Süper Lig

Referee: S Arslanboğa

Altay

T S S S T

0–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altay Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

63%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

88%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

75%

38%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 6

24 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Altay 5. · Karagumruk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	6	1	1	+6	19
2	Trabzonspor	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Besiktas	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Hatayspor	8	5	1	2	+10	16
5	Altay	8	5	0	3	+2	15
6	Konyaspor	8	3	5	0	+4	14
7	Karagumruk	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Galatasaray	8	4	2	2	+1	14
9	Alanyaspor	8	4	2	2	-3	14
10	Ad. Demirspor	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Gaziantep	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Sivasspor	9	2	4	3	+2	10
14	Buyuksehyr	9	3	0	6	-1	9
15	Antalyaspor	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Goztep	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Giresunspor	9	2	2	5	-4	8
19	Kasimpasa	9	1	3	5	-5	6
20	Rizespor	9	0	1	8	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Karagumruk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Gaziantep	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Buyuksehyr	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Altay	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Konyaspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Kayserispor	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Ad. Demirspor	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Sivasspor	5	1	3	1	+3	6
13	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Alanyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Kasimpasa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Giresunspor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Goztep	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Rizespor	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Hatayspor	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Galatasaray	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	-3	8
6	Konyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Altay	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Goztep	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Ad. Demirspor	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Kayserispor	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Giresunspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Kasimpasa	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Gaziantep	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Buyuksehyr	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Rizespor	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.