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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Augsburg
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Bielefeld
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
14%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
0,4
0,4
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
8 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 16. · Bielefeld 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 +21 19
2 Dortmund 8 6 0 2 +8 18
3 Leverkusen 8 5 1 2 +9 16
4 Freiburg 8 4 4 0 +6 16
5 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 Wolfsburg 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 FC Koln 8 3 3 2 -1 12
8 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 +8 11
9 Hoffenheim 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 M'gladbach 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Mainz 8 3 1 4 +0 10
12 Stuttgart 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Hertha 8 3 0 5 -11 9
14 Ein Frankfurt 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Bochum 8 2 1 5 -11 7
16 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -10 5
17 Bielefeld 7 0 4 3 -7 4
18 Greuther Furth 8 0 1 7 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Bielefeld
1–0 R. Oxford
D. Caligiuri
19′
27′
🟨 Patrick Wimmer
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Fernandes
↦ P. Wimmer
46′
🔁 A. Schöpf
↦ M. Okugawa
Ruben Vargas 🟨
49′
64′
🔁 F. Klos
↦ J. Serra
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
66′
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
67′
André Hahn 🟨
74′
77′
J. Laursen 1–1
Iago 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
79′
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
85′
N. Sarenren Bazee 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
85′
Sergio Córdova 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 F. Krüger
↦ R. Hack
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-5-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
3 M. Pedersen M
4 R. Oxford D
2 R. Gumny D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
5 T. Strobl M
10 A. Maier M
16 R. Vargas M
21 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (9)
9 S. Córdova
14 J. Morávek
22 Iago
27 A. Finnbogason
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
40 T. Koubek
11 M. Gregoritsch
32 R. Framberger
26 F. Winther

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Bielefeld

4-3-1-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
16 F. Kunze M
11 M. Okugawa M
21 R. Hack F
20 P. Wimmer M
23 J. Serra F
Bench (9)
22 E. Fernandes
8 A. Schöpf
9 F. Klos
18 F. Krüger
13 S. Kapino
6 L. Czyborra
3 Guilherme Ramos
10 B. Lasme
15 N. De Medina

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,21
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.