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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Redder
Thisted FC
S S S T
4–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thisted FC Brabrand
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
2 B 93 1 1 0 0 +16 3
3 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Taastrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Skjold Birkerød 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 HIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
37 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
39 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
40 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
41 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
42 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
43 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
44 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Thisted FC Brabrand
7′
M. Bay 0–1
37′
🔁 S. Schouby
↦ A. Baun
Half-time 0–1
M. Agger 🔁
↦ A. Bust
46′
J. Foe-Nuphaus 🔁
↦ L. Vestergaard
46′
J. Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Myrthue
46′
46′
🔁 M. Frandsen
↦ J. Dybdahl
46′
🔁 H. Borup
↦ M. Bay
1–1 A. Gero
54′
56′
S. Vesterbæk 1–2
2–2 A. Gero
60′
E. Lagergaard 🔁
↦ Mathias Andersen
63′
74′
🔁 D. Veliqi
↦ O. Thunbo
3–2 E. Seedorff
82′
J. Dalgaard 🔁
↦ M. Maarouf
83′
83′
🔁 S. Nedergaard
↦ N. Sauer
4–2 A. Gero
87′
94′
H. Borup 4–3
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Thisted FC

30 A. Kostow
17 D. Johansen
7 A. Bust
4 M. Myrthue
2 O. Andreasen
10 M. Maarouf
8 E. Seedorff
9 Mathias Andersen
31 C. Mihigo
27 L. Vestergaard
99 A. Gero
Bench (7)
11 M. Agger
21 J. Foe-Nuphaus
29 J. Hansen
24 E. Lagergaard
33 J. Dalgaard
1 A. Raahauge
6 J. Svenningsen

Coach: D. Kristensen

Brabrand

26 C. Andersen
2 T. Olesen
12 M. Pedersen
31 L. Enevoldsen
7 M. Bay
5 S. Vesterbæk
20 O. Thunbo
23 N. Sauer
30 Pedro Cortes
19 A. Baun
28 J. Dybdahl
Bench (6)
17 S. Schouby
15 M. Frandsen
22 H. Borup
13 D. Veliqi
16 S. Nedergaard
25 M. Kyllingsbæk

Coach: T. Søjberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.