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League Cup
Referee: E Duckworth
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Port Vale Fleetwood Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 12
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Port Vale Fleetwood Town
5′
C. Hayes 0–1
Junior Quitirna
1–1 E. Chislett
C. Grant
18′
Oliver Arblaster 🟨
20′
Ethan Chislett 🟨
41′
41′
🟨 Shaun Rooney
Half-time 1–2
47′
R. Graydon 1–2
Junior Quitirna
2–2 Joshua Thomas
O. Arblaster
58′
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ Joshua Thomas
64′
G. Massey 🔁
↦ E. Harrison
65′
66′
🟨 Ryan Broom
Conor Grant 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 D. Mayor
↦ S. Robertson
72′
🔁 P. Omochere
↦ R. Graydon
3–2 E. Chislett
G. Massey
72′
B. Garrity 🔁
↦ E. Chislett
74′
T. Sang 🔁
↦ C. Grant
74′
80′
🔁 C. Teale
↦ H. Holgate
80′
🔁 J. Vela
↦ R. Broom
T. McDermott 🔁
↦ O. Arblaster
82′
91′
🔁 M. Asamoah
↦ S. Rooney
Alex Iacovitti 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Port Vale

3-1-4-2
1 C. Ripley G
2 L. Cass D
6 N. Smith D
17 A. Iacovitti D
14 F. Ojo M
21 J. Plant M
10 E. Chislett M
18 O. Arblaster M
15 C. Grant M
9 E. Harrison F
44 Joshua Thomas F
Bench (9)
29 J. Wilson
19 G. Massey
8 B. Garrity
4 T. Sang
22 T. McDermott
23 J. Shorrock
13 J. Leutwiler
3 D. Jones
24 R. Walters

Coach: A. Crosby

Fleetwood Town

3-5-2
13 J. Lynch G
18 H. Holgate D
22 A. Nsiala D
32 J. Earl D
26 S. Rooney M
15 Junior Quitirna M
6 S. Robertson M
11 R. Broom M
21 C. Hayes M
19 R. Graydon F
14 J. Marriott F
Bench (9)
10 D. Mayor
20 P. Omochere
25 C. Teale
8 J. Vela
51 M. Asamoah
44 P. Patterson
30 S. McMullan
2 C. Johnston
36 S. Glenfield

Coach: S. Brown

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Duckworth · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.