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League Cup
Referee: D Middleton
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sutton Utd Cambridge United
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
0%
40%
Both score Ø 10%
0%
20%
Average goals
1,5
1,4
Scored
0,0
0,4
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sutton Utd Cambridge United
18′
F. Okenabirhie 0–1
1–1 H. Smith
38′
Half-time 1–1
J. Rose 🔁
↦ S. Arnold
46′
B. Goodliffe 🔁
↦ L. John
46′
60′
F. Okenabirhie 1–2
61′
🔁 J. Lankester
↦ E. Kachunga
61′
🔁 G. Thomas
↦ J. Brophy
L. Angol 🔁
↦ H. Smith
65′
C. Eastmond 🔁
↦ J. Coley
65′
71′
🔁 P. Digby
↦ J. Cousins
71′
🔁 D. Andrew
↦ Z. Rossi
80′
🔁 G. Yahyai
↦ F. Okenabirhie
2–2 H. Beautyman
82′
S. Kashket 🔁
↦ H. Beautyman
83′
3–2 C. Eastmond
121′
122′
G. Yahyai 3–3
4–3 L. Angol
123′
124′
J. Lankester 4–4
5–4 R. Milsom
125′
126′
D. Andrew 5–5
B. Goodliffe
penalty missed
127′
128′
G. Thomas
penalty missed
6–5 S. Kashket
129′
130′
P. Digby 6–6
7–6 O. Patrick
131′
132′
S. Janneh 7–7
8–7 A. O'Brien
133′
134′
H. Dunk
penalty missed
Full-time 8–7

Line-ups

Sutton Utd

4-4-2
25 S. Arnold G
22 J. Kizzi D
4 O. Sowunmi D
6 L. John D
24 R. Milsom D
7 J. Coley M
10 H. Beautyman M
16 C. Clay M
11 O. Patrick M
9 H. Smith F
40 A. O'Brien F
Bench (9)
1 J. Rose
5 B. Goodliffe
33 L. Angol
15 C. Eastmond
20 S. Kashket
28 O. Khinda
19 T. Fadahunsi
29 H. Kasimu
35 J. Taylor

Coach: M. Gray

Cambridge United

4-2-3-1
25 W. Mannion G
2 L. Bennett D
15 J. Okedina D
16 Z. Rossi D
11 H. Dunk D
24 J. Cousins M
22 L. Simper M
7 J. Brophy M
21 E. Kachunga M
17 S. Janneh M
9 F. Okenabirhie F
Bench (7)
10 J. Lankester
8 G. Thomas
4 P. Digby
3 D. Andrew
23 G. Yahyai
13 J. Holden
30 G. McConnell

Coach: M. Bonner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.