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League Cup
Referee: C Pollard
Exeter City
S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Crawley Town
S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Exeter City Crawley Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
20 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Exeter City Crawley Town
15′
⚽ K. Lolos 0–1
H. Ransom
Z. Jules 🔁
↦ P. Sweeney
16′
18′
🟨 Tobi Omole
40′
🟨 Joy Mukena
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 R. Darcy
↦ L. Kelly
Will Aimson 🟨
51′
K. Taylor 🔁
↦ A. Hartridge
63′
63′
🔁 T. Johnson
↦ H. Ransom
S. Cox 🔁
↦ S. Nombe
64′
71′
🟨 Aaron Henry
1–1 K. Taylor ⚽
S. Cox
73′
76′
🟨 Travis Johnson
Cheick Diabate 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Sonny Fish
2–1 J. Scott ⚽
R. Trevitt
84′
J. Richards 🔁
↦ R. Trevitt
87′
Pedro Borges 🔁
↦ J. Scott
87′
93′
🟨 Klaidi Lolos
96′
🔁 F. Kastrati
↦ S. Fish
Dion Rankine 🟨
98′
Jake Richards 🟨
100′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Exeter City

3-4-3
1 V. Sinisalo G
4 W. Aimson D
39 C. Diabate D
5 A. Hartridge D
26 P. Sweeney M
8 R. Trevitt M
12 R. Cole M
31 V. Harper M
21 D. Rankine F
10 S. Nombe F
11 J. Scott F
Bench (8)
3 Z. Jules
23 K. Taylor
19 S. Cox
47 J. Richards
41 Pedro Borges
33 G. Woods
35 J. O'Connor
36 M. Beardmore

Coach: G. Caldwell

Crawley Town

3-4-2-1
13 L. Ashby-Hammond G
20 J. Mukena D
5 H. Ransom D
16 T. Omole D
4 L. Kelly M
42 A. Grant M
12 A. Henry M
27 R. Khaleel
8 K. Lolos
24 K. Simon-Swyer F
15 S. Fish F
Bench (5)
10 R. Darcy
23 T. Johnson
29 F. Kastrati
1 C. Addai
17 J. Brown

Coach: S. Lindsey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.