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League Cup
Referee: S Simpson
Newport County
S S S T T
3–1
Full-time
Charlton
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newport County Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
80%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

26% Possession 74%
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 3
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Newport County Charlton
14′
🔁 T. Campbell
↦ R. Chin
28′
🟨 Michael Hector
42′
⚽ D. Kanu 0–1
T. Campbell
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Taylor
↦ Panutche Camará
46′
🔁 Karoy Anderson
↦ T. Campbell
Aaron Wildig 🟨
50′
A. Lewis 🔁
↦ S. Bennett
57′
1–1 A. Wildig ⚽
S. Palmer-Houlden
63′
69′
🔁 T. Thomas
↦ T. Edun
M. Bondswell 🔁
↦ A. Wildig
74′
2–1 W. Evans ⚽
M. Bondswell
76′
77′
🔁 A. May
↦ C. McGrandles
3–1 S. Palmer-Houlden ⚽
H. Charsley
80′
James Waite 🟨
88′
S. McLoughlin 🔁
↦ J. Seberry
92′
K. Rai 🔁
↦ J. Waite
93′
H. Bright 🔁
↦ S. Palmer-Houlden
93′
Harry Charsley 🟨
98′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Newport County

4-4-1-1
1 N. Townsend G
15 J. Seberry D
4 R. Delaney D
23 K. Jameson D
7 W. Evans D
20 H. Charsley M
17 S. Bennett M
8 B. Morris M
11 J. Waite M
24 A. Wildig F
30 S. Palmer-Houlden F
Bench (8)
3 A. Lewis
33 M. Bondswell
19 S. McLoughlin
18 K. Rai
14 H. Bright
16 S. Bowen
22 N. Wood
26 J. Maxted

Coach: G. Coughlan

Charlton

3-5-2
21 H. Isted G
24 Z. Mitchell D
5 L. Ness D
6 M. Hector D
28 R. Chin M
19 J. Payne M
16 C. McGrandles M
8 Panutche Camará M
17 T. Edun M
29 D. Kanu F
14 C. Kirk F
Bench (9)
20 T. Campbell
12 T. Taylor
33 Karoy Anderson
3 T. Thomas
9 A. May
4 G. Dobson
1 A. Maynard-Brewer
23 C. Blackett-Taylor
18 M. Egbo

Coach: D. Holden

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.