← Match Finder
League Cup
Referee: C Brook
Gillingham
S U S T T
3–1
Full-time
Southampton
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Gillingham Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Gillingham Southampton
1–0 A. Nadesan ⚽
D. Jefferies
12′
George Lapslie 🟨
27′
44′
🟨 Romain Perraud
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Doyle
↦ S. Mara
46′
🔁 J. Aribo
↦ S. Armstrong
2–0 R. McKenzie ⚽
M. Ehmer
51′
Dom Jefferies 🟨
58′
58′
🔁 C. Alcaraz
↦ R. Perraud
64′
🟨 Shea Charles
Robbie McKenzie 🟨
65′
3–0 R. McKenzie ⚽
67′
68′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ C. Adams
S. Malone 🔁
↦ G. Lapslie
71′
T. Nichols 🔁
↦ A. Nadesan
71′
J. Williams 🔁
↦ D. Jefferies
71′
78′
🟨 Lyanco
J. Gbode 🔁
↦ J. Clarke
84′
85′
🔁 T. Dibling
↦ J. Meghoma
Max Ehmer 🟨
88′
89′
⚽ C. Alcaraz 3–1
K. Doyle
Joseph Gbode 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gillingham

4-2-3-1
1 G. Morris G
2 C. Alexander D
5 M. Ehmer D
22 S. Ogie D
3 M. Clark D
18 E. Coleman M
14 R. McKenzie M
17 J. Clarke M
7 G. Lapslie M
11 D. Jefferies M
10 A. Nadesan F
Bench (7)
13 S. Malone
9 T. Nichols
8 J. Williams
29 J. Gbode
32 J. Chambers
34 S. Gale
25 J. Turner

Coach: N. Harris

Southampton

4-4-2
1 A. McCarthy G
14 J. Bree D
25 Lyanco D
15 R. Perraud D
29 J. Meghoma D
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw M
24 S. Charles M
17 S. Armstrong M
19 M. Djenepo M
18 S. Mara F
10 C. Adams F
Bench (9)
32 K. Doyle
7 J. Aribo
22 C. Alcaraz
12 P. Onuachu
33 T. Dibling
13 J. Lumley
34 D. Ballard
5 J. Stephens
23 S. Edozie

Coach: R. Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Brook · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.