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League Cup
Referee: S Oldham
Sunderland
U S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Crewe
T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Crewe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sunderland Crewe
13′
🟨 Jack Powell
Danny Batth 🟨
16′
Jewison Bennette 🟨
31′
Alex Pritchard 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ L. Offord 0–1
J. Tabiner
B. Dack 🔁
↦ E. Taylor
46′
B. Crompton 🔁
↦ Z. Johnson
46′
P. Ekwah 🔁
↦ D. Neil
46′
Abdoullah Ba 🟨
50′
59′
🔁 C. Long
↦ S. Tracey
59′
🔁 R. Adebisi
↦ L. Billington
J. Clarke 🔁
↦ A. Ba
60′
60′
🔁 O. Lunt
↦ J. Powell
1–1 C. Rigg ⚽
64′
69′
🔁 E. Nevitt
↦ C. Baker-Richardson
J. Bellingham 🔁
↦ J. Bennette
70′
83′
🟨 Matus Holicek
84′
🟨 Owen Lunt
89′
🟨 Luke Offord
92′
🔁 M. Demetriou
↦ M. Holíček
121′
⚽ E. Nevitt 1–2
2–2 B. Dack ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ C. Long 2–3
3–3 A. Pritchard ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ R. Adebisi 3–4
P. Ekwah ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ J. Tabiner 3–5
4–5 N. Triantis ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ R. Cooney 4–6
Full-time 4–6

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
30 N. Bishop G
41 Z. Johnson D
25 N. Triantis D
6 D. Batth D
2 N. Huggins D
24 D. Neil M
31 C. Rigg M
18 E. Taylor M
21 A. Pritchard M
19 J. Bennette M
17 A. Ba F
Bench (9)
46 B. Dack
44 B. Crompton
39 P. Ekwah
20 J. Clarke
7 J. Bellingham
10 P. Roberts
43 M. Spellman
1 A. Patterson
13 L. O'Nien

Coach: T. Mowbray

Crewe

5-3-2
1 H. Davies G
2 R. Cooney D
6 L. Offord D
15 C. O'Riordan D
4 Z. Williams
28 L. Billington D
17 M. Holíček M
23 J. Powell M
11 J. Tabiner M
10 S. Tracey F
9 C. Baker-Richardson F
Bench (9)
7 C. Long
3 R. Adebisi
19 O. Lunt
20 E. Nevitt
5 M. Demetriou
13 T. Booth
32 M. Woodcock
18 R. Griffiths
8 C. Thomas

Coach: L. Bell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Oldham · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.