← Match Finder
League Cup
Referee: G Eltringham
Stoke
T U T T S
2–1
Full-time
West Brom
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Stoke West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Apr -23 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 12. Nov -22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 9. Apr -22 West Brom – Stoke 1–3 1. Oct -21 Stoke – West Brom 1–0 20. Jan -20 West Brom – Stoke 0–1

Match report

Stoke West Brom
Luke McNally 🟨
5′
0–1 J. Griffiths ⚽
own goal
27′
31′
🟨 Erik Pieters
Sol Sidibe 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 B. Thomas-Asante
↦ J. Malcolm
57′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ N. Chalobah
D. Gayle 🔁
↦ Wesley
61′
André Vidigal 🔁
↦ R. Mmaee
61′
D. Johnson 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
62′
64′
⚽ B. Thomas-Asante 0–2
C. Townsend
1–2 André Vidigal ⚽
D. Gayle
65′
66′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
68′
🟨 Taylor Gardner-Hickman
69′
🔁 T. Fellows
↦ C. Townsend
69′
🔁 J. Molumby
↦ T. Gardner-Hickman
74′
🔁 J. Sarmiento
↦ A. Mowatt
Mark Travers 🟨
76′
86′
🟨 Joshua Griffiths
B. Pearson 🔁
↦ S. Sidibe
87′
M. Rose 🔁
↦ J. Thompson
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stoke

4-3-3
1 M. Travers G
17 K. Hoever D
23 L. McNally D
16 B. Wilmot D
14 J. Tymon D
30 S. Sidibe M
15 J. Thompson M
28 J. Laurent M
20 Chiquinho F
18 Wesley F
19 R. Mmaee F
Bench (9)
11 D. Gayle
7 André Vidigal
12 D. Johnson
4 B. Pearson
5 M. Rose
35 N. Lowe
32 D. Okagbue
13 J. Bonham
3 E. Stevens

Coach: A. Neil

West Brom

3-5-2
33 J. Griffiths G
36 C. Taylor D
5 K. Bartley D
15 E. Pieters D
34 E. Ingram M
29 T. Gardner-Hickman M
14 N. Chalobah M
27 A. Mowatt M
3 C. Townsend M
32 J. Malcolm F
19 J. Swift F
Bench (9)
21 B. Thomas-Asante
35 O. Yokuşlu
31 T. Fellows
8 J. Molumby
17 J. Sarmiento
6 S. Ajayi
30 T. Cann
39 J. Andrews
40 M. Faal

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.