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Svenska Cupen

Referee: E Vesprini

Dalkurd FF

S T T

5–2

Full-time

Oskarshamns AIK

S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dalkurd FF Oskarshamns AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

67%

75%

Both score Ø 54%

33%

75%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

67%

75%

Both score Ø 54%

33%

75%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Dalkurd FF 47. · Oskarshamns AIK 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Djurgarden	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Kalmar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Degerfors	3	3	0	0	+5	9
9	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
10	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+3	9
11	AIK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
12	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
13	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+3	7
14	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+9	6
15	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
18	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
21	Oskarshamns AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
22	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
23	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	Onsala	4	2	0	2	-5	6
25	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	+1	4
26	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
27	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
28	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
29	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
30	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	+0	3
36	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
46	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
48	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
54	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
55	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
3	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
4	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
5	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
25	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
26	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
27	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
44	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
4	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Orebro SK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Norrby IF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
42	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
44	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dalkurd FF Oskarshamns AIK

E. Montagna 🟨

16′

19′

🟨 Falcao

1–0 O. Ali ⚽

31′

34′

⚽ Falcão 1–1

T. Sanchez 🟨

36′

Half-time 2–1

2–1 O. Alvers ⚽

53′

3–1 E. Montagna ⚽

56′

61′

🔁 A. Podrimcaku

↦ B. Nouri

61′

🔁 A. Vidjeskog

↦ A. Olsson

R. Niklasson 🔁

↦ E. Montagna

63′

4–1 F. Rabet ⚽

67′

S. Eriksson 🔁

↦ S. Vits

69′

V. Svensson 🔁

↦ N. Ntuli

69′

🔁 M. Ulaj

↦ E. Crona

79′

🔁 E. Karlsson

↦ Falcão

79′

🔁 L. Rydberg

↦ A. Eriksson-Ibragic

R. Othman 🔁

↦ M. Kargbo

80′

S. Wikman 🔁

↦ T. Silva Sanchez

80′

84′

🟨

5–1 O. Alvers ⚽

85′

89′

⚽ A. Jibodu 5–2

Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Dalkurd FF

S. Vits

O. Alvers

R. Rahmani

T. Hartzell

N. Ntuli

O. Ali

T. Silva Sanchez

E. Montagna

R. Deprem

M. Kargbo

F. Rabet

Bench (7)

R. Niklasson

S. Eriksson

V. Svensson

R. Othman

S. Wikman

A. Ernström

I. Höök

Coach: A. Azrafshan

Oskarshamns AIK

M. Hartmann

A. Eriksson-Ibragic

Nícolas

A. Olsson

A. Ćatić

A. Jibodu

Falcão

I. Bråholm

B. Nouri

K. Busuladžić

E. Crona

Bench (6)

A. Podrimcaku

A. Vidjeskog

M. Ulaj

E. Karlsson

L. Rydberg

P. Zvar

Coach: T. Gabrielsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

25. Feb CUP 3 years ago

19. Feb CUP 3 years ago

31. Aug CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Dalkurd FF

Oskarshamns AIK

Odds comparison

Recent matches