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Ligue 2

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Bastia

S T T U S

4–2

Full-time

Nimes

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

44%

24%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

24%

44%

Both score Ø 42%

28%

56%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 8. · Nimes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	25	14	10	1	+24	52
2	Bordeaux	26	13	7	6	+15	46
3	Sochaux	25	13	5	7	+20	44
4	Metz	25	11	8	6	+13	41
5	Caen	25	10	9	6	+5	39
6	Quevilly Rouen	25	10	8	7	+4	38
7	Grenoble	25	10	8	7	+4	38
8	Bastia	25	11	5	9	-1	38
9	St Etienne	26	9	7	10	-2	34
10	Amiens	24	9	6	9	-1	33
11	Annecy	25	8	8	9	+0	32
12	Paris FC	24	8	7	9	-3	31
13	Guingamp	25	8	7	10	-4	31
14	Valenciennes	25	7	10	8	-5	31
15	Laval	25	9	4	12	-7	31
16	Pau FC	25	6	9	10	-10	27
17	Dijon	25	5	8	12	-8	23
18	Nimes	25	6	5	14	-14	23
19	Niort	25	6	5	14	-18	23
20	Rodez	25	4	10	11	-12	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	12	8	4	0	+13	28
2	Sochaux	13	8	3	2	+17	27
3	Caen	12	7	4	1	+11	25
4	Bordeaux	13	7	4	2	+9	25
5	Metz	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Valenciennes	13	5	8	0	+6	23
7	Bastia	13	7	2	4	+4	23
8	Grenoble	13	6	4	3	+3	22
9	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	+2	21
10	Quevilly Rouen	12	5	5	2	+6	20
11	Annecy	12	6	2	4	+3	20
12	Amiens	12	5	3	4	+2	18
13	Laval	13	5	2	6	+0	17
14	Dijon	13	4	5	4	+0	17
15	Nimes	12	5	1	6	-3	16
16	Pau FC	12	3	5	4	-4	14
17	Niort	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Paris FC	11	3	3	5	-3	12
19	Guingamp	13	3	3	7	-5	12
20	Rodez	13	1	5	7	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	13	6	6	1	+11	24
2	Bordeaux	13	6	3	4	+6	21
3	Guingamp	12	5	4	3	+1	19
4	Paris FC	13	5	4	4	+0	19
5	Metz	12	5	3	4	+6	18
6	Quevilly Rouen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Sochaux	12	5	2	5	+3	17
8	Grenoble	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Amiens	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Rodez	12	3	5	4	-1	14
12	Caen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Laval	12	4	2	6	-7	14
14	St Etienne	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Pau FC	13	3	4	6	-6	13
16	Annecy	13	2	6	5	-3	12
17	Niort	13	2	3	8	-12	9
18	Valenciennes	12	2	2	8	-11	8
19	Nimes	13	1	4	8	-11	7
20	Dijon	12	1	3	8	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.