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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Hamburg

S S U S U

3–0

Full-time

Nurnberg

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,2

1,8

Scored

2,7

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

64%

32%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

41%

Both score Ø 44%

55%

32%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Nurnberg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	22	14	7	1	+20	49
2	Hamburg	22	14	3	5	+15	45
3	Heidenheim	22	12	7	3	+19	43
4	Paderborn	23	12	3	8	+18	39
5	Kaiserslautern	23	10	8	5	+7	38
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	11	2	9	+7	35
7	St Pauli	23	9	8	6	+5	35
8	Holstein Kiel	22	8	8	6	+2	32
9	Hannover	22	8	5	9	+1	29
10	Karlsruhe	22	8	4	10	+0	28
11	Magdeburg	23	8	3	12	-11	27
12	Greuther Furth	22	6	8	8	-6	26
13	Nurnberg	22	7	4	11	-14	25
14	Hansa Rostock	22	7	3	12	-11	24
15	Braunschweig	22	5	6	11	-12	21
16	Bielefeld	22	6	2	14	-7	20
17	Regensburg	22	5	5	12	-16	20
18	Sandhausen	22	5	4	13	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	11	8	3	0	+18	27
2	Darmstadt	12	7	5	0	+12	26
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	8	1	2	+14	25
4	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
5	St Pauli	11	6	5	0	+11	23
6	Hamburg	11	7	1	3	+8	22
7	Greuther Furth	11	5	5	1	+3	20
8	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+3	19
9	Hannover	11	5	2	4	+2	17
10	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	+4	16
12	Nurnberg	11	5	1	5	-2	16
13	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	+0	14
14	Regensburg	11	3	5	3	-6	14
15	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-1	12
16	Magdeburg	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Sandhausen	10	3	2	5	-7	11
18	Hansa Rostock	11	3	1	7	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	10	7	2	1	+8	23
2	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Kaiserslautern	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	+1	16
5	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
6	Magdeburg	12	5	1	6	-5	16
7	Paderborn	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-5	14
9	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	St Pauli	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	+0	11
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	1	7	-7	10
13	Nurnberg	11	2	3	6	-12	9
14	Bielefeld	11	2	2	7	-6	8
15	Sandhausen	12	2	2	8	-10	8
16	Braunschweig	11	1	4	6	-12	7
17	Greuther Furth	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Regensburg	11	2	0	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.