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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
4–2
Full-time
Waregem
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
31%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10. · Waregem 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 24 20 3 1 +45 63
2 St. Gilloise 23 17 3 3 +24 54
3 Antwerp 22 15 4 3 +24 49
4 Charleroi 29 13 5 11 +2 44
5 Club Brugge 23 12 6 5 +15 42
6 Anderlecht 28 12 6 10 +11 42
7 Gent 22 12 3 7 +16 39
8 St Truiden 28 10 8 10 -3 38
9 Cercle Brugge 23 9 9 5 +6 36
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 9 9 11 +4 36
11 Standard 23 10 4 9 +1 34
12 Westerlo 23 9 6 8 +4 33
13 Mechelen 28 9 6 13 -8 33
14 Kortrijk 30 9 6 15 -16 33
15 Eupen 29 8 5 16 -20 29
16 Waregem 29 6 9 14 -20 27
17 Oostende 30 6 6 18 -29 24
18 Seraing United 27 5 4 18 -27 19
19 Seraing 28 5 4 19 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Waregem
1–0 S. Schrijvers
29′
2–0 J. Þorsteinsson
N. Nsingi
41′
3–0 C. De Norre
J. Þorsteinsson
45′
Half-time 3–0
Louis Patris 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ A. Sissako
46′
🔁 N. Dismas
↦ C. Brüls
S. Kiyine 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
53′
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ N. Nsingi
63′
Federico Ricca 🟨
71′
71′
ℹ️ Karol Fila
VAR: Penalty confirmed
73′
J. Vossen 3–1
Thibault Vlietinck ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
75′
4–1 J. Þorsteinsson
76′
78′
🔁 W. De Buyser
↦ N. Rommens
N. Opoku 🔁
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
80′
K. Malinov 🔁
↦ Mousa Al Tamari
80′
82′
Zinho Gano 4–2
A. Ndour
85′
🟨 Lukas Willen
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
20 H. Mendyl D
6 J. Dom M
24 C. De Norre M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
43 N. Nsingi F
Bench (7)
13 S. Kiyine
77 T. Vlietinck
21 N. Opoku
4 K. Malinov
29 N. Jackers
5 P. Ngawa
15 D. Ouédraogo

Coach: M. Brys

Waregem

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bossut G
19 K. Fila D
4 T. Derijck D
31 L. Willen D
14 A. Ciranni M
12 C. Brüls M
6 A. Sissako M
7 A. Fadera M
20 N. Rommens F
9 J. Vossen F
93 Zinho Gano F
Bench (7)
11 A. Ndour
26 N. Dismas
15 W. De Buyser
35 L. Hallaert
22 B. Sørmo
38 L. Bostyn
3 Borja López

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,78
B
3,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.