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Puchar Polski
Referee: L Kuźma

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olimpia Elbląg 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Kalisz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
37 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie Slask Wroclaw
J. Mikolajczyk 🟥
34′
M. Grochowski 🟨
42′
45′
⚽ Erik Expósito 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Kul 🔁
↦ M. Zieniewicz
46′
46′
🔁 P. Janasik
↦ Víctor García
46′
🔁 P. Schwarz
↦ P. Olsen
46′
🔁 S. Bergier
↦ D. Jastrzembski
46′
🔁 Ł. Bejger
↦ K. Poprawa
46′
⚽ S. Bergier 0–2
54′
🔁 A. Bukowski
↦ J. Hyjek
61′
⚽ P. Janasik 0–3
A. Drewnowski 🔁
↦ P. Brokowski
73′
M. Piszczatowski 🔁
↦ M. Steć
73′
74′
⚽ Erik Expósito 0–4
A. Romanowski 🔁
↦ D. Decewicz
81′
D. Hładuniuk 🔁
↦ K. Jackiewicz
81′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie

R. Rakowiecki
J. Mikolajczyk
P. Pasko
D. Decewicz
M. Zieniewicz
M. Grochowski
K. Skibko
P. Faszczewski
K. Jackiewicz
M. Steć
P. Brokowski
Bench (9)
M. Kul
A. Drewnowski
M. Piszczatowski
A. Romanowski
D. Hładuniuk
H. Stanisławski
M. Walendziewski
H. Grabowski
K. Gwardiak

Coach: K. Jackiewicz

Slask Wroclaw

R. Leszczyński
M. Konczkowski
Diogo Verdasca
Víctor García
K. Poprawa
P. Olsen
Nahuel Leiva
D. Jastrzembski
J. Hyjek
Erik Expósito
J. Yeboah
Bench (9)
P. Janasik
P. Schwarz
S. Bergier
Ł. Bejger
A. Bukowski
A. Łyszczarz
D. Grétarsson
J. Burta
P. Samiec-Talar

Coach: I. Đurđević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

L Kuźma · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.