Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lillestrom
Ranheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | +63 | 71 |
| 2 |
Start
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +19 | 48 |
| 3 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | +22 | 47 |
| 4 |
Kongsvinger
|
26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lyn
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +11 | 44 |
| 6 |
Egersund
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 40 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 31 |
| 11 |
Raufoss
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |
Stabaek
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 |
Moss
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -36 | 18 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Hedenstad
R. Gabrielsen
S. Foss
K. Tonnesen
H. Woxen
V. Hoff
E. Kitolano
Y. Paintsil
Felix Va
Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard
S. Nilsen
H. Rosten
S. Diop
A. Samuelsen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Odd
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Lyn
Lillestrom
hodd
Moss
Lillestrom
Sandnes ULF
Lillestrom
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.