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Super League
Referee: Fedayi San
Winterthur
T T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Luzern
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
3,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
89%
78%
Both score Ø 78%
67%
89%
Average goals
4,2
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
3,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Luzern 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 10 7 1 2 +7 -1.8 22
2 St. Gallen 10 7 0 3 +13 +2.9 21
3 Basel 9 6 0 3 +9 +10.3 18
4 Sion 10 4 3 3 +3 +3.3 15
5 Young Boys 9 4 2 3 -2 -1.8 14
6 Luzern 9 3 4 2 +1 -3.1 13
7 Lugano 9 4 1 4 -2 +3.7 13
8 Zurich 9 4 1 4 -3 +2.1 13
9 Lausanne 9 2 3 4 +1 +2.0 9
10 Grasshoppers 10 2 3 5 -4 -8.5 9
11 Servette 9 2 2 5 -5 +0.7 8
12 Winterthur 9 0 2 7 -18 -9.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.