Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Winterthur
Luzern
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +7 | -1.8 | 22 |
| 2 |
St. Gallen
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +13 | +2.9 | 21 |
| 3 |
Basel
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +9 | +10.3 | 18 |
| 4 |
Sion
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | +3.3 | 15 |
| 5 |
Young Boys
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.8 | 14 |
| 6 |
Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | -3.1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Lugano
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +3.7 | 13 |
| 8 |
Zurich
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +2.1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +1 | +2.0 | 9 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | -8.5 | 9 |
| 11 |
Servette
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | +0.7 | 8 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -18 | -9.7 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Basel
Winterthur
Winterthur
Lugano
Servette
Winterthur
Winterthur
Sion
Winterthur
Zurich
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.