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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

Aris Thessalonikis

U S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Panetolikos

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Super League · 23/25 matches

Win Ø 44%

48%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

39%

24%

Both score Ø 40%

48%

32%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · Panetolikos 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	25	16	6	3	+26	54
2	AEK	24	16	4	4	+30	52
3	Panathinaikos	25	13	8	4	+7	47
4	PAOK	25	13	5	7	+24	44
5	Aris	24	12	4	8	+3	40
6	Asteras Tripolis	25	11	6	8	+5	39
7	OFI Crete	26	11	6	9	+0	39
8	Aris Thessalonikis	23	11	4	8	+2	37
9	Panetolikos	25	10	5	10	+1	35
10	Atromitos	26	9	5	12	-2	32
11	Levadeiakos	26	7	9	10	-2	30
12	Volos NFC	25	7	3	15	-20	24
13	Panserraikos	26	6	4	16	-21	22
14	Athens Kallithea	26	3	9	14	-19	18
15	Lamia	25	1	6	18	-34	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	13	10	3	0	+27	33
2	Olympiakos	12	8	4	0	+13	28
3	Panathinaikos	13	8	4	1	+8	28
4	Aris	12	8	2	2	+9	26
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Asteras Tripolis	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Panetolikos	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	OFI Crete	13	5	3	5	-2	18
9	PAOK	13	5	2	6	+8	17
10	Levadeiakos	13	4	4	5	+0	16
11	Panserraikos	13	3	4	6	-7	13
12	Atromitos	13	3	3	7	-4	12
13	Athens Kallithea	13	2	4	7	-9	10
14	Volos NFC	12	1	2	9	-13	5
15	Lamia	12	0	3	9	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	12	8	3	1	+16	27
2	Olympiakos	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	OFI Crete	13	6	3	4	+2	21
4	Atromitos	13	6	2	5	+2	20
5	AEK	11	6	1	4	+3	19
6	Panathinaikos	12	5	4	3	-1	19
7	Volos NFC	13	6	1	6	-7	19
8	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Panetolikos	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Levadeiakos	13	3	5	5	-2	14
11	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	2	6	-6	14
12	Aris	12	4	2	6	-6	14
13	Panserraikos	13	3	0	10	-14	9
14	Athens Kallithea	13	1	5	7	-10	8
15	Lamia	13	1	3	9	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.