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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Cercle Brugge
S S T T S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 36/35 matches
Win Ø 38%
36%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
56%
71%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
74%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 16. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 36 18 4 14 +0 58
4 Genk 31 15 10 6 +19 55
5 Beerschot VA 36 16 6 14 -2 54
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 14 10 11 +3 52
7 Mechelen 30 14 7 9 +5 49
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Charleroi 36 11 12 13 +0 45
12 Eupen 37 10 15 12 -11 45
13 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
14 St Truiden 36 11 9 16 -7 42
15 Kortrijk 35 12 6 17 -7 42
16 Cercle Brugge 36 13 2 21 -10 41
17 Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28
20 Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Kevin Hoggas 🟥
33′
1–0 I. Ugbo
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ I. Asante
46′
🔁 K. Thamsatchanan
↦ R. Romo
54′
🟨 Casper De Norre
2–0 I. Ugbo
56′
Jeremy Taravel 🟨
58′
67′
🔁 D. Tshimanga
↦ V. Jemelka
67′
🔁 Y. Aguemon
↦ T. Vlietinck
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🟨
69′
3–0 J. Taravel
D. Velkovski
73′
Robbe Decostere 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 J. Eppiah
↦ D. Hubert
K. Denkey 🔁
↦ I. Ugbo
81′
Olivier Deman 🟨
82′
D. Hotič 🔁
↦ O. Deman
88′
Vitinho 🔁
↦ R. Decostere
88′
A. Corryn 🔁
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
88′
A. Cassaert 🔁
↦ J. Taravel
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

3-5-2
1 T. Didillon G
4 J. Taravel D
3 D. Bates D
19 D. Velkovski M
15 S. Pavlović D
8 R. Decostere M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
20 K. Hoggas M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman F
9 I. Ugbo F
Bench (7)
12 K. Denkey
10 D. Hotič
2 Vitinho
25 A. Corryn
32 A. Cassaert
89 S. Bruzzese
11 A. Musaba

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
90 R. Romo G
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
6 D. Hubert M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck D
14 K. Sowah M
20 I. Asante M
9 T. Henry F
13 Musa Al-Taamari M
Bench (7)
16 S. Schrijvers
1 K. Thamsatchanan
3 D. Tshimanga
7 Y. Aguemon
26 J. Eppiah
15 D. Ouédraogo
32 D. Vekemans

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,77
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.