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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Mechelen
S S U U T
4–2
Full-time
Waregem
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 30/36 matches
Win Ø 49%
47%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
73%
72%
Both score Ø 67%
70%
64%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
20 Shots 18
12 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 7. · Waregem 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 36 18 4 14 +0 58
4 Genk 31 15 10 6 +19 55
5 Beerschot VA 36 16 6 14 -2 54
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 10 12 +0 52
7 Mechelen 30 14 7 9 +5 49
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Charleroi 36 11 12 13 +0 45
12 Eupen 37 10 15 12 -11 45
13 Cercle Brugge 37 14 2 21 -7 44
14 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
15 St Truiden 36 11 9 16 -7 42
16 Kortrijk 35 12 6 17 -7 42
17 Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28
20 Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Waregem
1–0 N. Storm
K. Mrabti
30′
2–0 N. Storm
R. Schoofs
33′
38′
🔁 T. Chorý
↦ N. Kainourgios
Ferdy Druijf 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
64′
G. Bruno 2–1
I. Seck
3–1 F. Druijf
66′
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ F. Druijf
67′
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
68′
Lucas Bijker 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 P. Armenakas
↦ E. Pletinckx
78′
G. Bruno 3–2
J. Dompé
4–2 I. de Camargo
R. Schoofs
80′
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ S. Defour
83′
Issa Kabore 🟨
90′
90′
ℹ️ Gianni Bruno
VAR: Goal cancelled
M. Shved 🔁
↦ N. Storm
90′
I. Kaboré 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
88 S. Defour M
7 G. Hairemans F
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm F
19 K. Mrabti M
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
10 I. de Camargo
40 A. Vranckx
8 O. Kaya
35 M. Shved
29 I. Kaboré
1 G. Coucke
4 S. Bateau

Coach: W. Vrancken

Waregem

3-5-2
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
33 C. Humphreys D
24 E. Pletinckx M
43 N. Kainourgios M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
9 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
17 J. Dompé M
Bench (7)
15 T. Chorý
23 P. Armenakas
29 M. De Smet
1 S. Bossut
71 C. Thiam
67 J. Van Hecke
53 A. Colassin

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
4,01
B
4,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.