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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Gent
U S S T S
4–0
Full-time
Charleroi
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 30/36 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
57%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
64%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 9. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 37 18 4 15 -2 58
4 Genk 31 15 10 6 +19 55
5 Beerschot VA 36 16 6 14 -2 54
6 Mechelen 31 15 7 9 +7 52
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 10 12 +0 52
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Charleroi 36 11 12 13 +0 45
12 Eupen 37 10 15 12 -11 45
13 Cercle Brugge 37 14 2 21 -7 44
14 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
15 St Truiden 36 11 9 16 -7 42
16 Kortrijk 35 12 6 17 -7 42
17 Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28
20 Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Charleroi
1–0 R. Bezus
R. Yaremchuk
4′
2–0 R. Bezus
8′
37′
🟨 Cédric Kipré
45′
🟨 Jules Van Cleemput
M. Mohammadi 🔁
↦ Núrio Fortuna
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ J. Van Cleemput
59′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ M. Fall
Bruno Godeau 🟨
61′
3–0 T. Tissoudali
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
64′
70′
ℹ️ Ali Gholizadeh
VAR: Goal cancelled
75′
🔁 S. Berahino
↦ S. Nicholson
76′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ J. Kayembe
Roman Yaremchuk 🟨
78′
N. Dorsch 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
79′
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
79′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
79′
A. De Bruyn 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
83′
4–0 A. De Bruyn
86′
87′
🔁 C. Diandy
↦ G. Gillet
Niklas Dorsch 🟨
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
36 D. Arslanagić D
31 B. Godeau D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
9 R. Bezus F
6 E. Owusu M
34 T. Tissoudali F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
15 M. Mohammadi
30 N. Dorsch
29 L. Depoitre
23 Y. Malede
12 A. De Bruyn
33 D. Roef
32 I. Plastun

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Charleroi

3-4-2-1
40 R. Descamps G
3 O. Vranješ D
24 D. Dessoleil D
12 J. Kayembe M
4 J. Van Cleemput M
33 C. Kipre D
30 G. Gillet M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
77 M. Bruno
38 S. Berahino
34 A. Benchaib
13 C. Diandy
10 K. Rezaei
1 N. Penneteau

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,92
B
4,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.