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Serie A

Referee: F La Penna

Napoli

S S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

7,0

4,0

Scored

3,5

0,5

Conceded

3,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

19 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 10. · Sampdoria 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Verona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.