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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Real Madrid
T T S U U
3–2
Full-time
Levante
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

65% Possession 35%
25 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 5. · Levante 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Levante 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Osasuna 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Alaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Barcelona 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Granada 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Valladolid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Mallorca 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Villarreal 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Getafe 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Leganes 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Levante
1–0 K. Benzema
Carvajal
25′
Casemiro 🟨
28′
2–0 K. Benzema
J. Rodríguez
31′
Lucas Vázquez 🟨
40′
3–0 Casemiro
Vinícius Júnior
40′
Half-time 3–1
49′
Borja Mayoral 3–1
Clerc
56′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ N. Vukčević
E. Hazard 🔁
↦ Casemiro
60′
Éder Militão 🔁
↦ Sergio Ramos
60′
68′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Rochina
68′
🔁 Melero
↦ Ó. Duarte
75′
Melero 3–2
Campaña
80′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
L. Jović 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
83′
90′
🟨 Carlos Clerc
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-1-4-1
13 Thibaut Courtois G
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 Raphaël Varane D
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
14 Casemiro M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
16 James Rodríguez M
8 Toni Kroos M
25 Vinícius Júnior M
9 Karim Benzema F
Bench (7)
1 Alphonse Aréola
3 Éder Militão
23 Ferland Mendy
6 Nacho Fernández
27 Rodrygo
18 Luka Jović
7 Eden Hazard

Coach: Z. Zidane

Levante

5-3-2
13 Aitor G
20 Jorge Miramon D
14 Rubén Vezo D
6 Óscar Duarte D
15 Sergio Postigo D
19 Carlos Clerc D
16 Ruben Rochina M
17 Nikola Vukčević M
24 José Campaña M
21 Borja Mayoral F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (7)
1 Oier Olazábal
18 Erick Cabaco
23 Coke
10 Enis Bardhi
22 Gonzalo Melero
7 Sergio León
9 Roger Martí

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
6,59
B
10,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.